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I doubt that the units involved in the fighting are sending bullshit up the chain of command.

In fact, I feel certain the information flowing to the Secretary of Defense and his senior advisors is clear as to what we do know, what we do not know, and what the possibilities are.

Somewhere between SECDFEF and his senior advisors and Trump's public pronouncements, bullshit enters the equation. Either:
-- some senior advisors (either uniformed or civlian) are making it sound good for Trump's ears, or,
-- Hegseth is injecting bullshit so he can tellTrump what he knows Trump wants to hear, or,
-- Trump is getting facts from Hegseth and is applying his own abysmal ignorance and stupidity to what comes out of his mouth.

Given the fact that both Trump and Hegseth are dumb as dirt and neither respects the truth, I suspect that's where bullshit enters the picutre -- Hegseth and Trump.