Trump gave in to Iran because he didn't want to be a new Herbert Hoover [View all]
via Lawyers, Guns & Money
But it was Mr. Trump himself who offered what may be the most cleareyed answer about why he needed to end this war so fast. He didnt want comparisons to Herbert Hoover, he told reporters at the Hotel Royal in Évian-les-Bains, on the shores of Lake Geneva, on Wednesday.
He was always the one I didnt want to be, Mr. Trump said of the 31st president, who presided over the market crash that ushered in the Great Depression. I didnt want to see economic catastrophe. Later he noted that if the war continued, the world would have begun to run out of oil stockpiles.
That combination economic chaos and disrupted oil markets is exactly what the Iranians viewed from the opening days of the war as their most potent weapon. They executed on that vision with precision, closing the strait and blowing up petrochemical facilities, desalination plants, hotels and air bases across the Gulf. And by the presidents own testimony, it worked.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/17/us/politics/trump-iran-deal-nuclear-program-strait.html
When this regime is dispersed, we'll get the self-serving memoirs of "I warned this would happen, but no-one listened" (Vance sort of got there early, which may be why he's getting blamed for the MoU now - the others hope they can destroy him before he gets the "I was the Republican who understood things" reputation). There must have been several people in the planning who could have seen what would happen. Why did common sense not prevail? Had they got rid of enough realists that the crazies just carried the day with shouting?
Though Hoover wasn't anywhere near as active in causing his problems. He just didn't take actions to solve them.