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EdmondDantes_

(1,952 posts)

3. The 54% is from the Kalshi prediction market

Reply to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Apr 15, 2026, 10:25 PM

Wednesday

The data guru turned to the Kalshi prediction market, which showed a 54 percent chance that Democrats will win the Senate as of 6:30 p.m. on Wednesday. The number jumped considerably from its Jan. 1 precedent, when it was only a 33 percent chance.

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kcoates

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Harry Enton: 54% chance dems will win the Senate [View all] applegrove Wednesday OP

Wow, that's optimistic! nt spooky3 Wednesday #1

This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceWave Wednesday #2

The 54% is from the Kalshi prediction market EdmondDantes_ Wednesday #3

Electionbettingodds Boo1 Wednesday #6

I wonder what the percentages will be if gas hits $6. BannonsLiver Wednesday #4

I will wait until after the votes are counted in November. mwmisses4289 Wednesday #5

It is pathetic and f-ed up that this state of affairs yields such thin gruel in the way of odds. RockRaven Wednesday #7