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applegrove

(132,575 posts) Wed Apr 15, 2026, 10:14 PM Wednesday

Harry Enton: 54% chance dems will win the Senate

https://c.im/@CNN/116411832891955333

7 replies

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Harry Enton: 54% chance dems will win the Senate (Original Post) applegrove Wednesday OP

Wow, that's optimistic! nt spooky3 Wednesday #1

This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceWave Wednesday #2

The 54% is from the Kalshi prediction market EdmondDantes_ Wednesday #3

Electionbettingodds Boo1 Wednesday #6

I wonder what the percentages will be if gas hits $6. BannonsLiver Wednesday #4

I will wait until after the votes are counted in November. mwmisses4289 Wednesday #5

It is pathetic and f-ed up that this state of affairs yields such thin gruel in the way of odds. RockRaven Wednesday #7

spooky3

(38,716 posts)

1. Wow, that's optimistic! nt

Reply to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Apr 15, 2026, 10:18 PM

Wednesday

Response to applegrove (Original post)

PeaceWave This message was self-deleted by its author.

EdmondDantes_

(1,949 posts)

3. The 54% is from the Kalshi prediction market

Reply to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Apr 15, 2026, 10:25 PM

Wednesday

The data guru turned to the Kalshi prediction market, which showed a 54 percent chance that Democrats will win the Senate as of 6:30 p.m. on Wednesday. The number jumped considerably from its Jan. 1 precedent, when it was only a 33 percent chance.

Boo1

(394 posts)

6. Electionbettingodds

Reply to EdmondDantes_ (Reply #3)

Wed Apr 15, 2026, 10:56 PM

Wednesday

Aggregates the betting sites and has a similar number as well.

BannonsLiver

(20,704 posts)

4. I wonder what the percentages will be if gas hits $6.

Reply to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Apr 15, 2026, 10:26 PM

Wednesday

mwmisses4289

(4,415 posts)

5. I will wait until after the votes are counted in November.

Reply to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Apr 15, 2026, 10:31 PM

Wednesday

Those are the only polls that matter.

RockRaven

(19,548 posts)

7. It is pathetic and f-ed up that this state of affairs yields such thin gruel in the way of odds.