Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

Boo1

(395 posts)

35. I see the past week as being nothing but good enws for Democrats in CA

Reply to senseandsensibility (Original post)

Sat Apr 11, 2026, 02:15 AM

Apr 11

Swalwell is DONE. His name might still appear on the ballot, but he's toast. His staffers are always all hitting the door and his support will collapse. There isn't any coming back from this number of accusations at this point in the race.

Looking at the prediction markets, Swalwell's odds have fallen off a cliff today, going from 50% to make the general to under 5% a few hours ago.

Then on the other side, Trump did his normal fuck things up routine and actually endorsed one of the GOP candidates after being begged not to. That is going to boost Hiltons campaign at the expense of Bianco's.

All of this makes it much more likely that the top Democrat will be in the top 2 of the primary. That Democrat will walk to a win in November without much of a fight.

The Democrats needed the field to thin, and that's happening now. And, even in the unlikely event that Republican did manage to win the Governor race, Democrats control 75% of the legislature. They could effectively govern around the Governor, overiding vetos and stripping power, all while being backed up by the state courts.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

2 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

mr715 Lifeafter70

42 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

A Californian's view of the Governor race fiasco [View all] senseandsensibility Apr 10 OP

Swalwell has to drop out. mr715 Apr 10 #1

This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceWave Apr 10 #5

No he did not. mr715 Apr 10 #8

This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceWave Apr 10 #20

There is no due process in politics. mr715 Apr 10 #21

Everybody is owed due process. choie Apr 10 #25

In legal affairs yes mr715 Apr 10 #26

Politics offers its own binary form of due process fujiyamasan Apr 11 #36

This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceWave Apr 10 #22

...no...? mr715 Apr 10 #23

Politics is a blood sport. Norrrm Apr 10 #2

Swallwell, Porter and Steyer seem locked in three way race to the bottom. tinrobot Apr 10 #3

I agree with your opinion about Becerra senseandsensibility Apr 10 #4

This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceWave Apr 10 #6

Yep, I like Becerra and Yee. chowder66 Apr 10 #13

Dah, and seriously, a body builder got to be POTUS a kennedy Apr 10 #7

Doesn't have to be. But it does help win over lesser informed voters. tinrobot Apr 10 #10

This is why I hate unqualified billionaires pinkstarburst Apr 11 #42

Not a fan of jungle primaries...Hopefully it does not result in two Rs! LeftInTX Apr 10 #9

If it does, my guess is the legislature will change the law by the end of Newsom's term. Nt Fiendish Thingy Apr 10 #14

It's not a law, it's part of the constitution ITAL Apr 10 #18

I wish Betty Yee would poll better outside of the party convention... chowder66 Apr 10 #11

I love Betty Yee! Sympthsical Apr 10 #29

It's just weird that some people don't take the time to learn about the candidates and their qualifications. chowder66 Apr 10 #32

Media presence is everything Sympthsical Apr 10 #33

Has Swallwell issued a statement/denial yet? Fiendish Thingy Apr 10 #12

Yes, he released a complete denial senseandsensibility Apr 10 #15

And yet, four top staffers have quit. Fiendish Thingy Apr 10 #16

I think if he wants to proclaim innocence senseandsensibility Apr 10 #17

And now there are four women accusing him. Nt Fiendish Thingy Apr 10 #19

Fellow Californian FHRRK1 Apr 10 #24

As a fellow Californian, we'll be ok Sympthsical Apr 10 #27

I'll say Republicans are on a mission ................. Lovie777 Apr 10 #28

Appreciate your perspective and insights. Thank you! KitFox Apr 10 #30

Why thank you! senseandsensibility Apr 10 #31

Thank you. I read DU for years and last year I became a member. I haven't gotten into postings of my own yet, just KitFox Apr 11 #34

I see the past week as being nothing but good enws for Democrats in CA Boo1 Apr 11 #35

There is no 'Dem nominee' in CA. CA has a jungle primary, with the top 2 vote getters, regardless of party, moving on to Celerity Apr 11 #37

I see our resident fly-under has been chiming in Skittles Apr 11 #38

Yeah, wonder what that's about? senseandsensibility Apr 11 #39

This message was self-deleted by its author Lifeafter70 Apr 11 #40

Sorry I deleted my post cause I Lifeafter70 Apr 11 #41

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»A Californian's view of t...»Reply #35