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senseandsensibility

(25,168 posts)
Fri Apr 10, 2026, 06:35 PM Apr 10

A Californian's view of the Governor race fiasco

I call it a fiasco because it has just gone from a typically messy Democratic primary where there are too many Dems fighting each other to something that could be much worse. That's because of the allegations against Eric Swalwell. If you'd like to know more about that RandySF has a great OP in General Discussion right now.

What I wanted to share with you is that it was already getting a little nasty here. Tom Steyer is running attack ads against Swalwell (although they don't mention any allegations of sexual misconduct). Swalwell is running attack ads against Steyer, but he can't afford as many. Yesterday Ro Khana announced he is endorsing Steyer because of Steyer's support for Medicare For All. He did not mention any allegations against Swalwell. Katie Porter has been talking about the allegations though for days now.

I'm starting to get a little stressed out here. It's been easy to brush off the warnings that a Republican could take advantage of our inability to coalesce around a candidate. I'm used to highly competitive Democratic primaries here that can and do get messy. That's because the Dem nominee is essentially the winner in California. It's the whole enchilada if you win the nomination. But it seems the race seems to be entering an urgent new stage now. I hope the Dems get it together soon.

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A Californian's view of the Governor race fiasco (Original Post) senseandsensibility Apr 10 OP
Swalwell has to drop out. mr715 Apr 10 #1
This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceWave Apr 10 #5
No he did not. mr715 Apr 10 #8
This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceWave Apr 10 #20
There is no due process in politics. mr715 Apr 10 #21
Everybody is owed due process. choie Apr 10 #25
In legal affairs yes mr715 Apr 10 #26
Politics offers its own binary form of due process fujiyamasan Apr 11 #36
This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceWave Apr 10 #22
...no...? mr715 Apr 10 #23
Politics is a blood sport. Norrrm Apr 10 #2
Swallwell, Porter and Steyer seem locked in three way race to the bottom. tinrobot Apr 10 #3
I agree with your opinion about Becerra senseandsensibility Apr 10 #4
This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceWave Apr 10 #6
Yep, I like Becerra and Yee. chowder66 Apr 10 #13
Dah, and seriously, a body builder got to be POTUS a kennedy Apr 10 #7
Doesn't have to be. But it does help win over lesser informed voters. tinrobot Apr 10 #10
This is why I hate unqualified billionaires pinkstarburst Apr 11 #42
Not a fan of jungle primaries...Hopefully it does not result in two Rs! LeftInTX Apr 10 #9
If it does, my guess is the legislature will change the law by the end of Newsom's term. Nt Fiendish Thingy Apr 10 #14
It's not a law, it's part of the constitution ITAL Apr 10 #18
I wish Betty Yee would poll better outside of the party convention... chowder66 Apr 10 #11
I love Betty Yee! Sympthsical Apr 10 #29
It's just weird that some people don't take the time to learn about the candidates and their qualifications. chowder66 Apr 10 #32
Media presence is everything Sympthsical Apr 10 #33
Has Swallwell issued a statement/denial yet? Fiendish Thingy Apr 10 #12
Yes, he released a complete denial senseandsensibility Apr 10 #15
And yet, four top staffers have quit. Fiendish Thingy Apr 10 #16
I think if he wants to proclaim innocence senseandsensibility Apr 10 #17
And now there are four women accusing him. Nt Fiendish Thingy Apr 10 #19
Fellow Californian FHRRK1 Apr 10 #24
As a fellow Californian, we'll be ok Sympthsical Apr 10 #27
I'll say Republicans are on a mission ................. Lovie777 Apr 10 #28
Appreciate your perspective and insights. Thank you! KitFox Apr 10 #30
Why thank you! senseandsensibility Apr 10 #31
Thank you. I read DU for years and last year I became a member. I haven't gotten into postings of my own yet, just KitFox Apr 11 #34
I see the past week as being nothing but good enws for Democrats in CA Boo1 Apr 11 #35
There is no 'Dem nominee' in CA. CA has a jungle primary, with the top 2 vote getters, regardless of party, moving on to Celerity Apr 11 #37
I see our resident fly-under has been chiming in Skittles Apr 11 #38
Yeah, wonder what that's about? senseandsensibility Apr 11 #39
This message was self-deleted by its author Lifeafter70 Apr 11 #40
Sorry I deleted my post cause I Lifeafter70 Apr 11 #41

mr715

(3,732 posts)
1. Swalwell has to drop out.
Fri Apr 10, 2026, 06:38 PM
Apr 10

The allegations are serious and this is the trade off in a jungle primary.

Response to mr715 (Reply #1)

mr715

(3,732 posts)
8. No he did not.
Fri Apr 10, 2026, 06:50 PM
Apr 10

Maine, however, does not have a jungle primary.

Incidentally, the primary has not happened yet in either state so they both could drop out.

Also, if the allegations against Swalwell are substantiated there are a good deal worse than the Platner stuff - and I am no fan of his. But I'm reading full on sexual misconduct vs. a lot of dumb talk (and nazi iconography).

Response to mr715 (Reply #8)

mr715

(3,732 posts)
21. There is no due process in politics.
Fri Apr 10, 2026, 07:30 PM
Apr 10

He isn't owed anything by virtue of running for office.

fujiyamasan

(1,878 posts)
36. Politics offers its own binary form of due process
Sat Apr 11, 2026, 02:36 AM
Apr 11

Either a candidate wins or doesn’t. It’s a trial by public opinion. Is it fair?

That’s ultimately for the voters to decide.

Response to mr715 (Reply #1)

tinrobot

(12,092 posts)
3. Swallwell, Porter and Steyer seem locked in three way race to the bottom.
Fri Apr 10, 2026, 06:41 PM
Apr 10

Meanwhile, Becerra is more experienced in government than any of them. Congress, statewide office, and cabinet secretary.

He's not the most charismatic, but he'd still be a great governor.

Sadly, the people with the loudest voices are crowding him out.

senseandsensibility

(25,168 posts)
4. I agree with your opinion about Becerra
Fri Apr 10, 2026, 06:43 PM
Apr 10

Maybe he'll start getting more attention now. There is also a woman named Betty Yee, the former controller of CA running. She has some great, light hearted ads.

Response to senseandsensibility (Reply #4)

a kennedy

(36,106 posts)
7. Dah, and seriously, a body builder got to be POTUS
Fri Apr 10, 2026, 06:47 PM
Apr 10
He's not the most charismatic, but he'd still be a great governor.. Does the Governor HAVE to be charismatic???

tinrobot

(12,092 posts)
10. Doesn't have to be. But it does help win over lesser informed voters.
Fri Apr 10, 2026, 06:57 PM
Apr 10

Obama was charismatic and it helped him win.

But personally, I'd be fine with boring but capable. These three front runners are wearing me out.

pinkstarburst

(2,059 posts)
42. This is why I hate unqualified billionaires
Sat Apr 11, 2026, 05:21 PM
Apr 11

running for office. If Steyer wants to serve, he should run for statewide office and work his way up. Instead, what does he do? Runs for president and then gov of California. Pure ego. It's disgusting.

Fiendish Thingy

(23,463 posts)
14. If it does, my guess is the legislature will change the law by the end of Newsom's term. Nt
Fri Apr 10, 2026, 07:03 PM
Apr 10

ITAL

(1,351 posts)
18. It's not a law, it's part of the constitution
Fri Apr 10, 2026, 07:08 PM
Apr 10

They would start working on getting a ballot measure to repeal Prop 14 though.

chowder66

(12,355 posts)
11. I wish Betty Yee would poll better outside of the party convention...
Fri Apr 10, 2026, 07:01 PM
Apr 10

Betty Yee, who left her post as state controller in 2023, has consistently polled in the low single digits (opens in new tab) in a crowded Democratic field — often at 1% or 2%, topping out in a recent survey (opens in new tab) at 5%. Yet at the party convention, she won a shocking 17% (opens in new tab) of votes from statewide delegates, second only to East Bay Rep. Eric Swalwell, who had 24%.

“She’s beloved and respected by everyone who knows her,” Newman said. “But sadly, that alone isn’t enough to win a governor’s race.”
Yee argues that her fiscal expertise as the state’s former top financial officer is exactly what California needs. She says that as a reported $18 billion budget deficit (opens in new tab) looms next fiscal year, she can be a governor who knows where every dollar goes and how to get the most out of each one.

She has raised more than $2 million for her campaign — approximately 3% of the war chest amassed by Steyer, who has poured tens of millions of his own money into the race. Yee has frequently criticized (opens in new tab) her opponents as a “Billionaire Boys Club.” Her latest campaign finance report shows (opens in new tab) about $535,000 in cash on hand.

“I know what I’m up against,” she said. “I’ve always been the one who doesn’t raise the most.”


https://sfstandard.com/2026/03/02/betty-yee-governor-polling/

Sympthsical

(11,019 posts)
29. I love Betty Yee!
Fri Apr 10, 2026, 09:40 PM
Apr 10

I have only ever heard really nice things about her. Like you, I'm a little bummed she hasn't gotten more traction. She isn't nearly as flashy a media personality as the other candidates.

She's just a hard worker, which is what we need, but it isn't what will catch voters' interest in a high profile gubernatorial race.

In a just world, Governor Yee would be a thing.

chowder66

(12,355 posts)
32. It's just weird that some people don't take the time to learn about the candidates and their qualifications.
Fri Apr 10, 2026, 10:21 PM
Apr 10

Name recognition seems to be the most important aspect from the start.

I also think Xavier Becerra has some pretty good qualifications and I find it odd that he hasn't polled higher. He has a little more name recognition but whatever.


Sympthsical

(11,019 posts)
33. Media presence is everything
Fri Apr 10, 2026, 10:40 PM
Apr 10

Swalwell has been very vocal in going after Trump, active on social media, doing every interview round he can. The man likes attention. Porter has been a darling in progressive circles for her skits in Congress (the white board!). Steyer really just has the money to buy his visibility.

I am surprised, particularly in a heavily Latino state, Becerra hasn't gotten much traction either. But I feel like being a Cabinet secretary almost dooms someone politically. It isn't a very visible role, and it's easy for the public to kind of forget you exist.

Fiendish Thingy

(23,463 posts)
12. Has Swallwell issued a statement/denial yet?
Fri Apr 10, 2026, 07:02 PM
Apr 10

Considering he has lost several top staffers, and the woman is named in the reports, this seems pretty serious.

Combine this with the ethical issues around him trying to sell the services of his AI startup on Capitol Hill, and things aren’t looking good for Swallwell.

Fiendish Thingy

(23,463 posts)
16. And yet, four top staffers have quit.
Fri Apr 10, 2026, 07:06 PM
Apr 10

Just saw the new reports that three more women have accused him of sexual misconduct.

Not looking good.

Unless it can be proved that all four women are lying, He needs to drop out of the race, and resign from Congress.

senseandsensibility

(25,168 posts)
17. I think if he wants to proclaim innocence
Fri Apr 10, 2026, 07:07 PM
Apr 10

he needs to address the claims on camera at the very least.

FHRRK1

(50 posts)
24. Fellow Californian
Fri Apr 10, 2026, 08:00 PM
Apr 10

Give it 30 days. The two Repubs have 25 percent combined. One Dem just needs to get to 15.

Granted, if you would have asked me 30 days ago I would have bet Swalwell would be the one to break out to a lead.

Sympthsical

(11,019 posts)
27. As a fellow Californian, we'll be ok
Fri Apr 10, 2026, 09:36 PM
Apr 10

I know it's easy to be anxious given the state of *gestures at everything*, but we still have seven weeks until the primary.

I think we're kind of getting that last gasp of jockeying before we start seeing some drop outs and endorsements in the coming weeks.

I honestly think this might have been the ideal time for this to come out. Later would have been more chaotic. After the primary if Swalwell had won would've been a disaster.

There's been a tenor to things that the Democratic plane is practically crashing before take-off for the past several months. For me, it feels like we still have a fair bit of runway left.

If this is still going on by, say, May 5th or so, ok. Then I'll be on the "WTF, guys?!" train.

Lovie777

(23,226 posts)
28. I'll say Republicans are on a mission .................
Fri Apr 10, 2026, 09:37 PM
Apr 10

to fully taint the Governor's race for Democrats.

KitFox

(582 posts)
34. Thank you. I read DU for years and last year I became a member. I haven't gotten into postings of my own yet, just
Sat Apr 11, 2026, 01:42 AM
Apr 11

replying on others’ posts. It was years ago, but I think I found the link to DU on Common Dreams. And what a find! Sorry to hear about the Swallwell developments. Will watch for any updates you share. I’m your neighbor to the north in rural Oregon. 😊

Boo1

(395 posts)
35. I see the past week as being nothing but good enws for Democrats in CA
Sat Apr 11, 2026, 02:15 AM
Apr 11

Swalwell is DONE. His name might still appear on the ballot, but he's toast. His staffers are always all hitting the door and his support will collapse. There isn't any coming back from this number of accusations at this point in the race.

Looking at the prediction markets, Swalwell's odds have fallen off a cliff today, going from 50% to make the general to under 5% a few hours ago.

Then on the other side, Trump did his normal fuck things up routine and actually endorsed one of the GOP candidates after being begged not to. That is going to boost Hiltons campaign at the expense of Bianco's.

All of this makes it much more likely that the top Democrat will be in the top 2 of the primary. That Democrat will walk to a win in November without much of a fight.

The Democrats needed the field to thin, and that's happening now. And, even in the unlikely event that Republican did manage to win the Governor race, Democrats control 75% of the legislature. They could effectively govern around the Governor, overiding vetos and stripping power, all while being backed up by the state courts.

Celerity

(54,652 posts)
37. There is no 'Dem nominee' in CA. CA has a jungle primary, with the top 2 vote getters, regardless of party, moving on to
Sat Apr 11, 2026, 05:01 AM
Apr 11

the general. There is no Democratic primary.

You said:

I'm used to highly competitive Democratic primaries here that can and do get messy. That's because the Dem nominee is essentially the winner in California.

senseandsensibility

(25,168 posts)
39. Yeah, wonder what that's about?
Sat Apr 11, 2026, 02:36 PM
Apr 11

To be honest, the posts that I did see before they were deleted didn't seem objectionable.

Response to senseandsensibility (Reply #39)

Lifeafter70

(1,125 posts)
41. Sorry I deleted my post cause I
Sat Apr 11, 2026, 04:39 PM
Apr 11

Had it confused with another thread. That's what you get for not reading the entire thread.. This is the first time I have deleted a thread. I prefer to be corrected if wrong but I was more than wrong with my post.
My post was in regards to a poster getting removed and it was not even on this thread. Lol I thought you were referring to LG.
Haven't had a lot of sleep.

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