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Demixs

(14 posts)
Sun Feb 22, 2026, 12:49 PM Sunday

The trans rights backlash is real - By Lakshya Jain: [View all]

Lakshya Jain is a political data analyst, election modeler, and computer scientist. He is a co-founder of the nonpartisan election analysis website Split Ticket and currently serves as the Director of Political Data at The Argument.  
A graduate of UC Berkeley, Jain specializes in using polling, quantitative models, and survey microdata to track public opinion, understand demographic shifts, and forecast electoral trends.

Lakshya Jain argues that the transgender rights movement is losing public support, even among Democrats. The piece specifically highlights that even Kamala as parents are expressing skepticism and a lack of enthusiasm regarding trans rights. Jain concludes that to survive this cultural shift, advocates must acknowledge this reality and fundamentally overhaul their messaging.

It is hard to overstate how hostile the American public has become to many of the progressive movement’s goals on trans issues.

For instance, with the trans sports debate, over 60% of voters said they now support legislation requiring athletes in K-12 sports to compete with their biological sex, rather than with the gender they identify with. Critically, there was no large constituency of voters in favor of the progressive viewpoint, which garnered just 25% support among the electorate; even Democrats were evenly split on the measure. (As an example of how unfavorable the issue landscape is here,

Harris 2024 voters who are parents actually aligned with the conservative viewpoint by a surprisingly wide 45% to 34%.)


More: https://www.theargumentmag.com/p/the-trans-rights-backlash-is-real
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