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Demixs

(14 posts)
Sun Feb 22, 2026, 12:49 PM 16 hrs ago

The trans rights backlash is real - By Lakshya Jain:

Lakshya Jain is a political data analyst, election modeler, and computer scientist. He is a co-founder of the nonpartisan election analysis website Split Ticket and currently serves as the Director of Political Data at The Argument.  
A graduate of UC Berkeley, Jain specializes in using polling, quantitative models, and survey microdata to track public opinion, understand demographic shifts, and forecast electoral trends.

Lakshya Jain argues that the transgender rights movement is losing public support, even among Democrats. The piece specifically highlights that even Kamala as parents are expressing skepticism and a lack of enthusiasm regarding trans rights. Jain concludes that to survive this cultural shift, advocates must acknowledge this reality and fundamentally overhaul their messaging.

It is hard to overstate how hostile the American public has become to many of the progressive movement’s goals on trans issues.

For instance, with the trans sports debate, over 60% of voters said they now support legislation requiring athletes in K-12 sports to compete with their biological sex, rather than with the gender they identify with. Critically, there was no large constituency of voters in favor of the progressive viewpoint, which garnered just 25% support among the electorate; even Democrats were evenly split on the measure. (As an example of how unfavorable the issue landscape is here,

Harris 2024 voters who are parents actually aligned with the conservative viewpoint by a surprisingly wide 45% to 34%.)


More: https://www.theargumentmag.com/p/the-trans-rights-backlash-is-real
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Matthew28

(1,859 posts)
1. Some people
Sun Feb 22, 2026, 12:52 PM
16 hrs ago

hate the very concept of personal freedom. They have the same mindset of what drives Iran, Taliban and North Korea in their beliefs. One of control and micromanaging ones life.

Leave trans people alone.

RandomNumbers

(19,107 posts)
12. Everything you say is true, BUT
Sun Feb 22, 2026, 02:45 PM
14 hrs ago

there are about a MILLION REASONS why any random kid will not be able to play on a sports team they might like to play on. Most of those reasons are not remotely on anyone's political agenda. (probably a good number of those reasons fall under "parents don't care enough"; but not all.)

Kids who come out as trans should never be bullied or disenfranchised in any way. But certain kids not being able to play on varsity teams should not be a litmus test political issue, IMO. I'm sure a lot of trans people, if they HAD to choose one of these, would pick: a) being left alone to be who they are, over b) playing on the women's sports team even though they were assigned male gender at birth. (as a side note, is anyone hearing a whole lotta bitchin' from the wrong wing about assigned-female trans kids wanting to play on the boys' teams?)

WhiskeyGrinder

(26,762 posts)
2. "The public increasingly agrees with an opinion that's been increasingly pushed by design through a multi-million-dollar
Sun Feb 22, 2026, 01:01 PM
16 hrs ago

propaganda campaign from the right that Dems keep wringing hands over and going along with to try and win the bigot vote, which they fail to do. They should keep doing it."

Lakshya Jain is a bigoted tool and has no place here.

stopdiggin

(15,270 posts)
3. bathrooms didn't bother (too) many - sports competition, seen in a different light - - - - -(nt)-
Sun Feb 22, 2026, 01:17 PM
16 hrs ago

Edit: linked article actually presents a broader picture of opposition - seemingly suggestive of real backward trend. I found that surprising ?

Quiet Em

(2,684 posts)
4. It is hard to overstate how hostile people like Lakshya are towards trangender children.
Sun Feb 22, 2026, 01:22 PM
16 hrs ago

Children who cause absolutely zero harm to Lakshya or anyone else.

Any person who sets out to pick on a very small percentage of CHILDREN, and to rile up people who will cause those children actual harm, is the lowest of the low.

TommyT139

(2,280 posts)
7. Are you basing that on the article?
Sun Feb 22, 2026, 01:42 PM
15 hrs ago

I don't see where he is implying anything of the sort. Or is there another source you are referring to?

Demixs

(14 posts)
11. The author said there's an electoral backlash
Sun Feb 22, 2026, 02:32 PM
15 hrs ago

To conclude That the author himself is hostile for pointing this out is strange to me.
It is called the “shooting the messenger” fallacy, a.k.a. Ad Hominem attack.

haele

(15,253 posts)
5. I'm a grandparent of a "Demi-Boy" I am familiar with the issue.
Sun Feb 22, 2026, 01:27 PM
16 hrs ago

I am fully supportive of grandkid being the best, most comfortable person they can be. By being comfortable, they can thrive.

But I see where others are having problems reconciling the gender change. At best, these concern trolls think about the generous, happy appearing little six year old girly girl and this whole situation seems like Teen Angst or acting out - and lots of parents who might otherwise claim to support their kid, don't want their kid to set themselves up for bullying.

Oddly enough, they don't seem to care much about Trans Males ("That's just being a Tomboy, she'll grow out of it..." ) but Trans Females - oh, no...

A lot of the problems with the general public is they may accept the LGB, but they think the T is play-acting or Pantomime, like Dame Edna.
Which is odd, because throughout history (at least in England) there were apparently people who legally changed their genders and would occasionally go so far as to put out announcements in small, local newspapers that they were now legally "Miss Elenore X" or "Mr. Edward X".
Thanks to J. Draper - Nebula, YouTube, and TicToc - on her excellent video studies of English Social Mavericks and customs throughout history.

I have heard more than one feminist express that Trans Females are a character - basically Drag Queens - play-acting and exaggerating femininity for their own amusement, which is offensive to "real women" in the "real world".
While otherwise liberal men have problems because they think they're going to be tricked by a pervy Gay man preying on straight men.

Liberals are not immune to personal stereotypes and bigotries. We are all just people, after all

gulliver

(13,863 posts)
9. Trans has been undermined by overreaching
Sun Feb 22, 2026, 01:50 PM
15 hrs ago

Trans is a social construct, largely because everything is, even science. Since trans is both a social construct and a people grouping label, it suffers from the usual vulnerabilities. How do you decide who is in the group and who isn't? How do you decide who represents the group?

I don't think those who consider themselves trans have the luxury of being able to determine who gets into their group. Anyone can just say they are in the group, even if the current members of the group would rather not have them.

Worse, those who group themselves as trans don't have the luxury of being represented by legitimate voices. There are no democratic votes to determine, for example, who will stand for the trans and speak for their interests. It's all self-selected, presumptuous volunteers. These are people the trans either would rather speak for them or people the trans wish would just shut up, because they make things worse. But there's no way of knowing which.

Imo, ultimately, the nation's democracy and legal system are probably going to have to weigh in. Competing social constructs should be balanced, as best we Americans can, using the will of the majority. If the majority decides, for example, that the definition of "woman" (as a social construct and for legal purposes) is "having no Y chromosome," (or whatever else), the matter is effectively settled, imo. Democracy overrides. It's all we have, our individual voices expressed through democracy.

The distinction trans remains regardless of the decision by the democracy. And rights for people who consider themselves trans would not be diminished as long as they receive equal treatment under the law in accordance with their observable behavior, not their group identification.





hunter

(40,538 posts)
15. Many Civil Rights leaders of the 'sixties could be quite abrasive.
Sun Feb 22, 2026, 04:38 PM
12 hrs ago

Even within their own communities some people wished they'd just "shut up."

Unfortunately, quietly and politely demanding one's civil rights isn't always effective.

In these United States the white majority believed they were superior to everyone else. Did that settle the question?

pinkstarburst

(1,932 posts)
14. This honestly doesn't surprise me
Sun Feb 22, 2026, 03:09 PM
14 hrs ago

I think there have been a very few, very high profile cases that have done a disproportionate amount of harm with regards to the sports issue. The Lia Thomas case was one for sure. Most everyone know in real life supports trans rights but feels strongly after what happened with Thomas that women's sports needs to be redefined as only for athletes who were born female because the biological advantage to being born male, even with hormone suppression, is too great. Thomas demonstrated that plainly for the world to see.

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