General Discussion

With regard to TN-07, overperforming by 14 points and yet still losing by about 9% doesn't necessarily mean someone more ideologically aligned with the district would've done better. There is a saturation effect and Rep. Behn did about as well as should have possibly done, structurally. A moderate, I don't think, would've done better.

There is also very real possibility that Behn's energetic and ideologically bold campaign drove up turnout and when turnout is up, Democrats do better.

I strongly expect Rep. Crockett to lose. But I don't know, I don't have a crystal ball. I am disappointed that her house seat was redistricted.