Texas Senate Race [View all]

I have tremendous respect for Jasmine Crockett. I would vote for her because she's attractive, smart, and courageous, but getting elected in Texas will be an uphill climb for her. James Talarico is also very smart and has a better chance of defeating Cornyn and even a better chance of beating Paxton if he defeats Cornyn in the primary.

My reasoning is based solely upon the margins in previous Texas races:

Presidential Elections:

2008 McCain 55% Obama 44% white male vs black male
2012 Romney 57% Obama 41% white male vs black male
2016 Trump 52% Hillary 43% white male vs white female
2020 Trump 52% Biden 46% White male vs white male
2024 Trump 56% Harris 42% White male vs black female

Senate Elections:

2018 Cruz 52% O'Rourke 48% White male vs white male
2020 Cornyn 54% Hegar 44% White male vs white female
2024 Cruz 53% Allred 45% White male vs black male.

Republicans defeat Democrats every time. Women and women of color fare worse than white males.

Why? Because Texas......I don't like it, but those are the results.