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LogDog75

(437 posts)
61. Consider what they economic opportunity cost is
Wed Jan 1, 2025, 02:33 PM
Jan 2025

Economic opportunity cost basically is what is the cost of your decision. You have a binary decision to make; to pay off the mortgage or to invest the money. Please note, each person's situation is different and one solution doesn't solve everyone's problem. I know it feels good and it's the "American way" to have a mortgage paid off but it doesn't always have to be that way.

You have two choices to choose from. If you pay off the mortgage, you'll be saving the monthly payments which you could invest in the markets but you'll no longer have $80,000. If you invest in the market, your investment could grow considerably. So the question comes down to what is the cost of paying off the mortgage versus investing the $80,000.

Option 1: Paying off the mortgage
I don't know what your monthly payments are but let's say it's $1,500 per month or $18,000 a year. If you pay off the mortgage it would take you 4.4 years ($80,000/$18,000 = 4.4) to recoup your $80,000.

Option 2: Invest the money
Use the Rule of 72 to determine how long it will take to double your investment. The Rule of 72 is to divide the interest rate into 72 and the result is the number of years it will take to double. If you invested the $80,000 in the market with an expected conservative return of 8%, it would take you 9 years (72/8 = 9) to double your money. In 9 years, your $80,000 would, theoretically, double and grow to $160,000.

So what you need to consider is what are your current and projected needs over the next 10 years are? If you don't need the money from paying off the mortgage then invest the money in the markets. Word of warning: there are risks in markets and they are not guaranteed to continue rising and you could lose or make money.

What you'll need to do is to sit down and do the math on both options and choose which one is best for you.


Recommendations

1 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

I'd pay off the mortgage. If the economy goes to shit at least you'll own your house Ocelot II Dec 2024 #1
That's what I am thinking too. And who knows how they will screw with SS. OAITW r.2.0 Dec 2024 #2
There might be snowybirdie Jan 2025 #51
I paid mine off, it was a better move for me regardless of the tax situation. Ocelot II Jan 2025 #54
Are you familiar with the Turbineguy Dec 2024 #3
I did, once, about 30 years ago. OAITW r.2.0 Dec 2024 #6
If you've got it... 2naSalit Dec 2024 #4
I have 2 CD's that would about cover it. About 6 months from maturity. OAITW r.2.0 Dec 2024 #9
Hmm... 2naSalit Dec 2024 #10
Only if you itemize your deductions. Many do not since they changed the law question everything Dec 2024 #14
I thought that didn't matter now with the higher personal deduction, especially on 80k Shellback Squid Dec 2024 #16
It comes down to the total annual interest cost plus annual property taxes IbogaProject Dec 2024 #17
You get a tax deduction on the mortgage interest Felicita Dec 2024 #21
Good advice, thanks. Maybe paying down chunks. over time, is the better way to go. OAITW r.2.0 Dec 2024 #23
Prepaying some of the principal each month is a good option. TheRickles Jan 2025 #52
The fed has signaled that inflation and interest rates are going up, IIRC. usonian Dec 2024 #5
you'll give up $80K and lose a tax deduction. whats the interest rates for mortgage vs possible msongs Dec 2024 #7
How much interest is in your payments? Renew Deal Dec 2024 #8
Pay off the mortgage. greatauntoftriplets Dec 2024 #11
What's the interest rate on the mortgage and how old is it? PSPS Dec 2024 #12
I paid mine off, with $500 to spare in my account. alfredo Dec 2024 #13
Well, I can tell you, 1st hand, LL Bean's sells quality product. OAITW r.2.0 Dec 2024 #24
your current interest rate on the mortgage? Shellback Squid Dec 2024 #15
I think it's 3.5% OAITW r.2.0 Dec 2024 #18
CDs and short-term treasury bills/other bonds are currently over 4 percent carpetbagger Dec 2024 #20
Debt free is great state of mind. rubbersole Dec 2024 #19
I'm leaning that way, too. OAITW r.2.0 Dec 2024 #25
I paid mine off earlier this year. woven Dec 2024 #22
Welcome aboard! OAITW r.2.0 Dec 2024 #27
No advice, just analysis here HariSeldon Dec 2024 #26
Something to consider. Thanks for posting. OAITW r.2.0 Dec 2024 #28
We were in the same situation 25 years ago - Paid off the mortgage GoneOffShore Dec 2024 #29
Pay off the mortgage FirefighterJo Dec 2024 #30
This is good advice Renew Deal Dec 2024 #32
I have an Acorns account. Something I am trying to get my kids and neices and nephews to use, OAITW r.2.0 Dec 2024 #38
I never regretted paying off my mortgage early. viva la Dec 2024 #31
2008 - and the Maidoff led market collapse. I sat down with my wife. "Lets pay it off now because we don't know 3Hotdogs Dec 2024 #33
I'm kinda where you are, but without the wife. OAITW r.2.0 Dec 2024 #39
50 acres. Where is that? The only acre I got is from a bad tooth. 3Hotdogs Dec 2024 #40
Central Maine. Right smack in the middle of nowhere. OAITW r.2.0 Dec 2024 #41
NIce. I had friends who had several acres in Stetson, Me., outside of Bangor. They bought a couple of acres, around '72, 3Hotdogs Dec 2024 #45
Never had an experience like that. I was on the Planning Board in my town in the 90;s. OAITW r.2.0 Dec 2024 #46
Different times ----- different neighbors. 3Hotdogs Dec 2024 #47
Continuing. 3Hotdogs Dec 2024 #48
Had a very deep temperature drop 2 years ago. Really cold, then -50F below overnigjt, then really cold again. OAITW r.2.0 Dec 2024 #49
How old are you? And are the investments mostly MontanaFarmer Dec 2024 #34
I'm encroaching on 72. OAITW r.2.0 Dec 2024 #42
That's tempting to get out of the MontanaFarmer Jan 2025 #50
Invest a small portion into Quantam computing and Beachnutt Dec 2024 #35
I did it shortly before retiring - smartest thing I could have done under the circumstances. Ocelot II Dec 2024 #36
I am 72. Thinking about a living trust to put the house into and making my kids the beneficiaries. OAITW r.2.0 Dec 2024 #43
How do you feel about buying dead horses? lastlib Dec 2024 #37
To simplify. I have an $80K mortgage at 3.5% (20 years/ 5 years in). I have CD investment equivalents making 5% OAITW r.2.0 Dec 2024 #44
I've been interested in this thread wryter2000 Jan 2025 #53
If you have 15 year CDs earning 5%, you would be better off financially to not pay off your mortgage; however, surfered Jan 2025 #56
Sounds like a good plan. multigraincracker Jan 2025 #58
Consider what they economic opportunity cost is LogDog75 Jan 2025 #61
We didn't have a very good loan so it made sense for us to pay off our mortgage many years ago. CrispyQ Jan 2025 #55
Pay off the mortgage. ificandream Jan 2025 #57
I had planned on paying my house off when I retired Americanme Jan 2025 #59
If you have enough, put that into a Money Market account as long as it is paying more than Wonder Why Jan 2025 #60
money market dividends are not qualified dividends, and so are not eligible for the capital gains rate nmmi Jan 2025 #62
I stand corrected on that point. They are not eligible for capital gains rate. Wonder Why Jan 2025 #63
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