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Economy

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GreatGazoo

(4,601 posts)
Fri Mar 13, 2026, 11:05 AM Mar 13

Is There Any Sane Reason Why the Market has Not Fallen 10%+ ? [View all]

Even if this war stopped today the damage is done. Tankers on fire. Ports damaged. No mines laid (apparently) but the way shipping was handled and not considered has to drive costs up for the foreseable future.

"Buy the rumor, Sell the war" is the maxim so where is the selling?

It looks like retail investors are slow to react or maybe they believe a TACO this weekend will undo it all (?) It won't. Many are buying the dips: March WSJ "Fresh Shocks, Same Strategy: Unfazed Retail Investors Keep Hitting ‘Buy

Institutional investors seem likewise slow to accept just how badly this is going and that none of the potential outcomes from here are good.

Lifting Russian sanctions and dumping the strategic reserve was a blip. Oil is at $95 now even as some buyers try to wait it out.

Gold and other hard assets seem like the safest play.
Nicotine is doing well -- MO and PM as usual. MO pays 8% qualified dividend and almost always hedges these dips

But don't consider any of this as advice because I really don't know why the market isn't lower every day?!

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Will just put this out there UpInArms Mar 13 #1
Yes and we saw them act on March 12, 2020 GreatGazoo Mar 13 #3
Also, watching the bond market UpInArms Mar 13 #5
I don't get it either. NCDem47 Mar 13 #2
I'm selling QQQs and buying GLDM GreatGazoo Mar 13 #8
You made me look mnhtnbb Wednesday #20
Everything is going great for the 1% gab13by13 Mar 13 #4
Market is hedging because of TACO WSHazel Mar 13 #6
Black Rock is as far to the right as one can get gab13by13 Mar 13 #9
Black Rock cares about money WSHazel Mar 13 #11
I am factoring in TACO GreatGazoo Mar 13 #12
Private credit is separate WSHazel Mar 13 #13
Selling off stock and buying gold would be the ultimate in foolishness. Fiendish Thingy Mar 13 #7
Who are you talking about using your strategy? gab13by13 Mar 13 #10
A "record number" doesn't mean a majority are withdrawing from 401k's Fiendish Thingy Mar 13 #16
Even Blackrock seems to be short of cash GreatGazoo Mar 13 #17
How would you diversify for this disaster? GreatGazoo Mar 13 #15
The world, and the markets, are different than they were in the 1970's Fiendish Thingy Mar 13 #18
Wile E. Coyote has walked off the cliff, oblivious EYESORE 9001 Mar 13 #14
Getting much closer to that 10% drop today! mnhtnbb Wednesday #19
I sold last week GreatGazoo Thursday #21
i significantly readjusted mnhtnbb Thursday #24
"I think the war is very complete, pretty much" progree Thursday #22
"1%" of total output GreatGazoo Thursday #23
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