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(Minnesota) The D's are behind in 3 of the 4 statewide races in this poll [View all]
POLL: Scott Jensen Leads Tim Walz, Keith Ellison Trails Jim Schultz, Patch, 10/21/22
The poll was commissioned by the conservative website Alpha News and conducted by the Trafalgar Group. Jensen leads Walz by about a half percentage point. Trafalgar Group has an A- grade from Nate Silver's nonpartisan analytics website, FiveThirtyEight.
The survey also found that Democratic Attorney General Keith Ellison is trailing his Republican challenger, Jim Schultz, by about 5 percentage points.
Meanwhile, Republican Kim Crockett is down just two percentage points from her opponent, Democratic Secretary of State Steve Simon, according to the poll.
The survey also found that Democratic state auditor Julie Blaha is trailing her Republican challenger, Ryan Wilson, by about 4 percentage points.
Polls conducted back in the summer showed all statewide Democrats with sizeable leads. However, polls conducted in the past month now show that Minnesota Republicans could be on the verge of winning their first statewide race since 2006.
MORE: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/poll-scott-jensen-leads-tim-walz-keith-ellison-trails-jim-schultz/ar-AA13eoek
The poll was commissioned by the conservative website Alpha News and conducted by the Trafalgar Group. Jensen leads Walz by about a half percentage point. Trafalgar Group has an A- grade from Nate Silver's nonpartisan analytics website, FiveThirtyEight.
The survey also found that Democratic Attorney General Keith Ellison is trailing his Republican challenger, Jim Schultz, by about 5 percentage points.
Meanwhile, Republican Kim Crockett is down just two percentage points from her opponent, Democratic Secretary of State Steve Simon, according to the poll.
The survey also found that Democratic state auditor Julie Blaha is trailing her Republican challenger, Ryan Wilson, by about 4 percentage points.
Polls conducted back in the summer showed all statewide Democrats with sizeable leads. However, polls conducted in the past month now show that Minnesota Republicans could be on the verge of winning their first statewide race since 2006.
MORE: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/poll-scott-jensen-leads-tim-walz-keith-ellison-trails-jim-schultz/ar-AA13eoek
So summarizing the above:
Governor: R: +0.5
Attorney General: R: +5
Secretary of State: R: -2
State Auditor: R: +4
Frightening to see in Minnesota, especially considering the R's are all extreme nut cases. These aren't Arne Carlson Republicans.
Here is fivethirtyeight on the Governor's race:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/governor/minnesota/
Certainly Walz(D) being behind is an outlier in the polls shown at the above link.
I don't know if FiveThirtyEight covers the other races above.
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