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BumRushDaShow

(166,435 posts)
Wed Jul 2, 2025, 07:21 AM Jul 2025

The private sector lost 33,000 jobs in June, badly missing expectations for a 100,000 increase, ADP says [View all]

Source: CNBC

Published Wed, Jul 2 2025 8:15 AM EDT | Updated 16 Min Ago


Private sector hiring unexpectedly contracted in June, payrolls processing firm ADP said Wednesday, in a possible sign that the economy may not be as sturdy as investors believe as they bid the S&P 500 back up to record territory to end the month.

Private payrolls lost 33,000 jobs in June, the ADP report showed, the first decrease since March 2023. Economists polled by Dow Jones forecast an increase of 100,000 for the month. The May job growth figure was revised even lower to just 29,000 jobs added from 37,000.

“Though layoffs continue to be rare, a hesitancy to hire and a reluctance to replace departing workers led to job losses last month,” Nela Richardson, ADP’s chief economist, said in a press release published Wednesday morning.

To be sure, the ADP report has a spotty track record on predicting the subsequent government jobs report, which investors tend to weigh more heavily. May’s soft ADP data ended up differing significantly from the monthly jobs report figures that came later in the week.

Read more: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/02/adp-jobs-report-june-2025.html



This is the 3rd party "ADP" report that covers "private sector" jobs vs the federal government's "all" that comes out Thursday Friday (Friday is the July 4 holiday). What is of note is that this is the first time I've seen CNBC remark on the wide differences in numbers between ADP's and BLS's data (I do that almost every time I report these).


Article updated.

Previous article -

Published Wed, Jul 2 2025 8:15 AM EDT | Updated 7 Min Ago


Private sector hiring unexpectedly contracted in June, payrolls processing firm ADP said Wednesday, in a possible sign that the economy may not be as sturdy that investors believe as they bid the S&P 500 back up to record territory to end the month.

Private payrolls lost 33,000 jobs in June, the ADP report showed, the first decrease since March 2023. Economists polled by Dow Jones forecast an increase of 100,000 for the month. The May job growth figure was revised even lower to just 29,000 jobs added from 37,000.

"Though layoffs continue to be rare, a hesitancy to hire and a reluctance to replace departing workers led to job losses last month," Nela Richardson, ADP's chief economist, said in a press release published Wednesday morning.

To be sure, the ADP report has a spotty track record on predicting the subsequent government jobs report, which investors tend to weigh more heavily. May's soft ADP data ended up differing significantly from the monthly jobs report figures that came later in the week.



Original article -

Published Wed, Jul 2 2025 8:15 AM EDT


Private sector hiring unexpectedly contracted in June, payrolls processing firm ADP said Wednesday, in a possible sign that the economy may not be as sturdy that investors believed as they bid the S&P 500 back up to record territory to end the month.

Private payrolls lost 33,000 jobs in the June, the ADP report showed. Economists polled by Dow Jones forecast an increase of 100,000 for the month. The May job growth figure was revised even lower to just 29,000 jobs added from 37,000.

"Though layoffs continue to be rare, a hesitancy to hire and a reluctance to replace departing workers led to job losses last month," Nela Richardson, ADP's chief economist, said in a press release published Wednesday morning.

To be sure, the ADP report has a spotty track record on predicting the subsequent government jobs report, which investors tend to weigh more heavily. May's soft ADP data ended up differing significantly from the monthly jobs report figures that came later in the week.
33 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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I don't see how they can trust any numbers from the federal govt either mdbl Jul 2025 #1
This message was self-deleted by its author Bernardo de La Paz Jul 2025 #6
Yes! tRUMP and his christo-fascist regime will start cooking these numbers if the SM starts going south wolfie001 Jul 2025 #10
The markets are still being propped up newdeal2 Jul 2025 #2
Currently they are being propped up by retail investors, the public, not by deep dark nefarious forces Bernardo de La Paz Jul 2025 #7
That's who will lose when it all comes crashing down IronLionZion Jul 2025 #16
Sure, but the poster's conspiracy theory about big dark forces propping it up seems almost reflex. . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Jul 2025 #18
The market is moved by Hedge Funds edhopper Jul 2025 #28
Okay, more like sons & daughters (20s, 30s, 40s) on Robinhood. Bernardo de La Paz Jul 2025 #31
And all won't see it coming edhopper Jul 2025 #32
Cain't be true. All them illegals they already rounded up? tanyev Jul 2025 #3
The gap between the ADP and BLS reports is usually many times larger than the gap between private sector and "all" jobs progree Jul 2025 #4
US private employers cut 33,000 jobs in June, the latest sign of a slowing labor market mahatmakanejeeves Jul 2025 #5
Almost like tariffs, mass deportations, harassing tourists, are all bad for business IronLionZion Jul 2025 #8
Throttling the clean energy sector, insulting heads of states, Mr. Mustard 2023 Jul 2025 #13
G.O.P. is driving our economy into the crapper BoRaGard Jul 2025 #9
All the firings had to hit sometime and all the obvious AF businesses that will now fail because of lack of cu$tomer$? Brainfodder Jul 2025 #11
The Manufacturer's Index declined for the moniss Jul 2025 #12
In the middle of all this chaos it's common sense to think things will slow down. Growth and prosperity like calm water. NoMoreRepugs Jul 2025 #14
Trump -I did that! Gimpyknee Jul 2025 #15
It use to take years before the bad economic decision Farmer-Rick Jul 2025 #17
2008 not caused by 1994. But I think this economy will break in less than 3 yrs bc tRump's actions are drastic. . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Jul 2025 #20
I agree edhopper Jul 2025 #29
+1 Very well thought out reply. Good points. bronxiteforever Jul 2025 #21
Stable genius at work Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Jul 2025 #19
Those people on the Titanic just wanted to go for a swim. There was no iceberg and the ship will be docking in twodogsbarking Jul 2025 #22
don't you worry dear leader will conveniently blame Biden. even though it makes no sense. nt Javaman Jul 2025 #23
So much winning!!! llmart Jul 2025 #24
If you were a republicon billionaire, this wouldn't bother you BoRaGard Jul 2025 #25
Yikes Demovictory9 Jul 2025 #26
The problem is that ADP uses a different methodology than ADP. lostincalifornia Jul 2025 #27
I just got hammered the other day KentuckyWoman Jul 2025 #30
It's All Going To Hell In A Hand Basket DallasNE Jul 2025 #33
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