General Discussion

His scandals play into Susan Collins' support. There are people who will believe Graham Platner is a sexist, misogynist, men's rights candidate. Those low information, low propensity voters are coming from Susan Collins' base of support.

Additionally, he is a good speaker, while she is not. He speaks in terms of absolutes and does so simply, she never has.

He looks vital and dominating. She is tremulous and small.

"Moderates" don't seem to really have the appeal they once had, so I don't see Collins winning any ground there.

Finally, every single thing Trump does in the next several months is a challenge for Collins. If she supports an unpopular President, she risks losing mainstream support. If she fails to be lockstep, she is going to lose the MAGA base or worse, Trump actively rebukes her.

Imagine there is a vacancy on the Supreme Court. How could Collins vote that WOULDN'T hurt her?

In any case, while I acknowledge that Susan Collins has been a bedrock institution and political force in Maine, I think times up.

Our candidate is built to beat Susan Collins. More so than any other Democrat in consideration.

Much as Talarico might be the perfect candidate to run against Paxton, though that fight will be harder because Texas isn't Maine.