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SSJVegeta

(3,319 posts)

22. So the deficit is apparently 216k votes I think. I think

Reply to pat_k (Reply #21)

Mon Jun 8, 2026, 10:26 PM

15 hrs ago

The becerra steyer split will be constant but I think the GOP has hit most of their ceiling as their demographics usually vote much earlier than most, which wgive us huge gaps between dems and the next leading R in every batch. So it is just really hard to be so sure Hilton takes this.

They definitely are usually very good but they have run into problems in the past being too hasty. The 2018 valadao call is one of a few, I believe.

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pat_k

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I know chances are about nil, but is anyone else getting the feeling Steyer could edge out Hilton? [View all] pat_k 22 hrs ago OP

No RandySF 22 hrs ago #1

Gentlemans bet? If Steyer doesnt make it to the runoff SSJVegeta 22 hrs ago #3

Yes SSJVegeta 22 hrs ago #2

Why si Becerra's ceiling also capped? lol obamanut2012 22 hrs ago #8

Becerra isnt capped sorry. Hilton is. The remaining votes will be split at least close to evenly bt Steyer and Becerra SSJVegeta 20 hrs ago #9

Basically the remaining votss are almost entirely favoring Becerra and Steyer SSJVegeta 19 hrs ago #10

Far from nil. Still a longshot but definitely could happen. Wiz Imp 22 hrs ago #4

I believe he will get at least within a point of Hilton SSJVegeta 22 hrs ago #6

There are currently about three hundred thousand votes separating Hilton and Steyer senseandsensibility 22 hrs ago #5

No obamanut2012 22 hrs ago #7

He would need to win all the rest of the vote by more karynnj 18 hrs ago #11

Nope SSJVegeta 17 hrs ago #12

That batch is higher than the average batch as been karynnj 15 hrs ago #18

We shall see SSJVegeta 14 hrs ago #24

Jsut a small percentage dropped today and Steyer ate into Hiltons lead by about 1/4th SSJVegeta 17 hrs ago #13

Not exactly rich on a $20 bet, but it would be fun. pat_k 17 hrs ago #14

Rich...er? SSJVegeta 17 hrs ago #15

Isn't she on track for second? pat_k 16 hrs ago #16

Yeah but my bet was on first cause I'm like that SSJVegeta 16 hrs ago #17

Got it! pat_k 15 hrs ago #19

For some reason ddhq already called it for Hilton. That seems way too early and I think they are going to get burned SSJVegeta 15 hrs ago #20

They are usually pretty good on calls. Of course, time will tell. pat_k 15 hrs ago #21

So the deficit is apparently 216k votes I think. I think SSJVegeta 15 hrs ago #22

This message was self-deleted by its author onenote 15 hrs ago #23