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pat_k

(14,216 posts)

21. They are usually pretty good on calls. Of course, time will tell.

Reply to SSJVegeta (Reply #20)

Mon Jun 8, 2026, 10:17 PM

6 hrs ago

If he were behind more like 150,000 I doubt they would have called it. But with more than a 300,000 deficit....

My guess is that they are accounting for the swing toward Democrats, but are assuming the split between Becerra and Steyer will remain relatively constant. I'm not sure that assumption is correct, but time will tell.

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I know chances are about nil, but is anyone else getting the feeling Steyer could edge out Hilton? [View all] pat_k 13 hrs ago OP

No RandySF 13 hrs ago #1

Gentlemans bet? If Steyer doesnt make it to the runoff SSJVegeta 13 hrs ago #3

Yes SSJVegeta 13 hrs ago #2

Why si Becerra's ceiling also capped? lol obamanut2012 13 hrs ago #8

Becerra isnt capped sorry. Hilton is. The remaining votes will be split at least close to evenly bt Steyer and Becerra SSJVegeta 11 hrs ago #9

Basically the remaining votss are almost entirely favoring Becerra and Steyer SSJVegeta 10 hrs ago #10

Far from nil. Still a longshot but definitely could happen. Wiz Imp 13 hrs ago #4

I believe he will get at least within a point of Hilton SSJVegeta 13 hrs ago #6

There are currently about three hundred thousand votes separating Hilton and Steyer senseandsensibility 13 hrs ago #5

No obamanut2012 13 hrs ago #7

He would need to win all the rest of the vote by more karynnj 9 hrs ago #11

Nope SSJVegeta 8 hrs ago #12

That batch is higher than the average batch as been karynnj 6 hrs ago #18

We shall see SSJVegeta 5 hrs ago #24

Jsut a small percentage dropped today and Steyer ate into Hiltons lead by about 1/4th SSJVegeta 8 hrs ago #13

Not exactly rich on a $20 bet, but it would be fun. pat_k 8 hrs ago #14

Rich...er? SSJVegeta 8 hrs ago #15

Isn't she on track for second? pat_k 7 hrs ago #16

Yeah but my bet was on first cause I'm like that SSJVegeta 7 hrs ago #17

Got it! pat_k 6 hrs ago #19

For some reason ddhq already called it for Hilton. That seems way too early and I think they are going to get burned SSJVegeta 6 hrs ago #20

They are usually pretty good on calls. Of course, time will tell. pat_k 6 hrs ago #21

So the deficit is apparently 216k votes I think. I think SSJVegeta 6 hrs ago #22

This message was self-deleted by its author onenote 6 hrs ago #23