General Discussion

Barring that Democrat has some crazy ass scandal a la Swalwell that comes out during the general. And of the remaining Democrats, Porter is the one who concerns me most in that area. Rumor is, there's more videos out there of her being . . . well, how she is.

This article's premise about that second choice is old information in what has become a mercurial race. We haven't really had any good polling since Swalwell dropped out. One expects we'll get it this week, then we can determine where we are.

I'd argue, based on the momentum I'm seeing, this may be a three Democrat race between Steyer, Porter, and Becerra. Becerra seems to be benefiting from the, "I want a Democrat, but not a billionaire," sentiment. If he suddenly seems viable, will Latinos begin feeling like their support for him will be worth it? First Latino governor in a 40% Latino state where over half of all children are now Latino would be a big deal, too.

This article very obviously elides over the fact Porter was at 8% in the most recent polling (where, granted, Swalwell was still in the race for some of the polling period, but not all of it).

Ballots start going out May 5th, and there are some debates coming up. We'll see what we see, but I think a lot of where people land is going to come down to viability. We should also see some dropping out and endorsements before the 5th. That will matter, too.