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usonian

(24,744 posts)
Fri Mar 6, 2026, 09:43 PM Friday

Polymarket takes down nuclear detonation bet after online backlash [View all]

https://www.businessinsider.com/polymarket-nuclear-detonation-market-bet-backlash-removal-2026-3?op=1

Overnight, Polymarket took down a market that allowed users to trade on where a nuclear weapon would detonate by March 31, June 30, or simply before 2027.

Traders who bet yes on any of those timelines would be paid out if there were a nuclear detonation anywhere on Earth, including in an offensive use, a test, or even an accidental detonation.

The market had over $650,000 in total trading volume as of Tuesday, according to an archived snapshot of the site. A message on the webpage now reads: "This event has been archived."

snip

The suspension came after several users on X expressed outrage about the existence of the market, particularly amid a raft of suspicious trades on the platform in the wake of the killing of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.


snap


My personal guess?
That an insider knows that it's better than even odds by April, for four reasons:

That's Three

and four:

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