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WarGamer

(18,380 posts)

28. You're right... I was recollecting studies from mid 25

Reply to ProfessorGAC (Reply #27)

Sat Feb 21, 2026, 07:37 PM

11 hrs ago

According to a meta-analysis by Cato and the Yale Budget Lab (released in February 2026), there was a significant shift in who paid as the year 2025 progressed:

June 2025 (The "Absorption" Phase): Studies found that only about 22% to 35% of costs had reached consumers. At that time, 64% of the burden was being eaten by the U.S. companies (importers) themselves through lower profit margins.

Late 2025 (The "Pass-Through" Phase): By October/November, those same researchers found the consumer share had jumped to 55%, and the importer's share had dropped to 27%.

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$1,700 refund per family for the people since Trump tariffs were ruled unconstitutional [View all] bigtree Friday OP

It would be nice MustLoveBeagles Friday #1

We'll never see it. Ritabert Friday #2

I dunno bigtree Friday #7

You could be right. I wouldn't mind it. Ritabert Friday #17

Trump will get around to it in 2 weeks. Beartracks 16 hrs ago #21

tariff refunds could be a 2026 campaign flashpoint bigtree Friday #5

They get Dems out there saying they'll vote for a refund for each person harmed by this shit Bengus81 Friday #11

Refunding would be an absolute nightmare. paleotn Friday #13

Not that hard to figure out COGs increases WA-03 Democrat Friday #19

Good points all. Beartracks 16 hrs ago #22

"the best course is just apply it to the gapping hole that is this year's federal budget" Strelnikov_ 16 hrs ago #23

Any properly managed business drray23 15 hrs ago #24

Trump has really stepped in it. Tangible numbers that every household can understand. bucolic_frolic Friday #3

he would have been better off just shutting it over this bigtree Friday #9

That would be illegal. WarGamer Friday #4

They passed those tariffs right on down the line to consumers. Let's see them prove they didn't Bengus81 Friday #12

Exactly. It should be relatively easy to refund Bluetus Friday #15

SCOTUS explicitly said today the refund MUST be to the importer of record. WarGamer Friday #18

I understand what you are saying. Political punches don't have to be logical. Bluetus 12 hrs ago #25

You Said That Yesterday ProfessorGAC 12 hrs ago #27

You're right... I was recollecting studies from mid 25 WarGamer 11 hrs ago #28

They'd get $1700 worth of CryptoTrump Coins. Buns_of_Fire Friday #6

that would be wild bigtree Friday #8

You should always date your letters. Good to cc: Legal Dept too. twodogsbarking Friday #10

And a CC: to some reputable news outlets - ProPublica, The Guardian, ... erronis Friday #14

Damn straight Governor. Evolve Dammit Friday #16

I'd rather see immediate repeal of the MAGA Murder Budget pat_k Friday #20

Should be choices for a refund, like itemizing or standard deduction in taxes OC375 12 hrs ago #26