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Seinan Sensei

(1,474 posts)
4. Exponentially speaking, we probably are more fucked than we realize
Mon Feb 16, 2026, 03:06 PM
Monday

Behold the parable of lilies in your pond.

You buy one lily. Lily-vendor says your lily will double every day. Day two there are two lilies, day three there are four, then eight, then sixteen …

On day thirty, the entire pond is covered in lilies.

After how many days was the pond exactly half full of lilies?
On day twenty-nine.

Such is exponential growth.

We are heading toward an age when climate becomes too extreme, temperature becomes too hot, air becomes too toxic, clean water becomes too rare, resources become too gone.

The best time to act was a generation ago.
The second-best time to act is today.

And on what day will we be inexorably and unavoidably fucked?

On day twenty-nine.
NOT day thirty.

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