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Metaphorical

(2,610 posts)
4. i regularly correspond with Gary Marcus
Wed Feb 11, 2026, 07:50 PM
Feb 11

I would trust his word FAR more than I would Matt Shumer, who's a paid shill.

Yes, automation (by which I include various kinds of AIs, as well as software as a service and a great deal of what would be considered algorithmic software) is eroding what jobs COULD at least partially replaced, but here's some the reality:

* For the most part, consumers are not adopting AI at noticeable levels, and in many cases are actively moving away from it, seeking out alternatives.
* OpenAI in particular will never be profitable. Not now, not in ten years, not in fifty (assuming it even survives to ten years old). Investors are hitting pause, and a lot of the money that's been committed is now being held back, even with the threat of contract breaches.
* Vibe coding hit its peak about a year ago with the introduction of the agentic tech. Now most of that code is being ripped out because it is unmanageable, has egregious bugs, and is a massive security risk (I work on tech that's intended to ground AIs, but even given that, I'm dubious about CodeGen beyond creating relatively simple frameworks).
* AI is being adopted in the coding field as well as asset generation, but those tend to be low hanging fruit.
* AI does not do appreciably better in detecting cancers or other diseases than your average layman, and usually fares worse than doctors do.
* Some forms of AI (not generative) are being used for biochemical and genetic research. This is not what the GenAI folk are peddling.
* Many businesses that made a splash by firing their development teams to boost their stock prices have quietly been trying to rehire them, not always successfully.
* The regulatory world is finally catching up to the Tech Bros, and questions are being raised around the circular financing that looks an awful lot like Lehman Brothers, et al, in 2008.
* Most of the big tech stalks have seen their share prices drop significantly in the last six months. I don't think we're going to have a panic crash, but I do see the air leaking out of the balloon.

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Tyvm for clarifying! SheltieLover Feb 11 #1
Yvw, Sheltie! highplainsdem Feb 11 #5
😊👍 SheltieLover Feb 11 #8
Thanks! Appreciate your effort in calling out some of the hyperbole , and attendant hubris. - - - - -(nt)- stopdiggin Feb 11 #2
You're welcome! I should have done more checking and posted this earlier, but had a lot of other highplainsdem Feb 11 #7
More on Matt Shumer here, starting with a Bluesky post from a journalist working for PC Gamer: highplainsdem Feb 11 #3
i regularly correspond with Gary Marcus Metaphorical Feb 11 #4
I've had some great exchanges with Gary, too. I'd have trusted him more than Matt Shumer in any highplainsdem Feb 11 #10
I've brought this up before in your posts, but as a developer with 25 years experience, it really IS scary. FascismIsDeath Feb 11 #6
this also ... A well thought, and absolutely solid 'take' on the overall picture. Thanks! stopdiggin Feb 11 #11
I'm sorry that AI's coding ability is becoming such a threat to developers' jobs. But part of the reason highplainsdem Feb 11 #12
The "junior level" developers who prompt and review this code are just fall guys. hunter Feb 12 #18
Pascal was the first language I really learned. FascismIsDeath Feb 12 #19
Thanks for putting this together. Good stuff. WhiskeyGrinder Feb 11 #9
You're welcome! I wish I'd read about Shumer hours earlier. highplainsdem Feb 11 #13
See reply 14. Shumer needed AI to write that crap. He's really AI-addled. highplainsdem Feb 11 #15
Yeah it was clear from reading it. WhiskeyGrinder Feb 11 #16
That twit Shumer needed AI to help him write that piece of weaponized hype (as Gary Marcus called it): highplainsdem Feb 11 #14
Kick highplainsdem Feb 11 #17
Yeah I clicked on it - and then realized it was just a AI glazefest. 617Blue Feb 12 #20
Reddit thread & YouTube video on why Shumer was accused of fraud in 2024: highplainsdem Feb 12 #21
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