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highplainsdem

(61,077 posts)
Wed Feb 11, 2026, 07:22 PM Wednesday

Some reality about Matt Shumer's "Something Big Is Happening" AI hypefest some DUers are overreacting to [View all]

From Gary Marcus, always a voice of sanity in response to pro-AI hype and lies:

https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/about-that-matt-shumer-post-that

About that Matt Shumer post that has nearly 50 million views
Something big is allegedly happening

Gary Marcus
Feb 11, 2026

All morning people have been asking me about a blog post by Matt Shumer that has gone viral, with nearly 50 million views on X.

It’s a masterpiece of hype, written in the style of the old direct marketing campaigns, with bold-faced call outs like “I know this is real because it happened to me first” and “I am no longer needed for the actual technical work of my job”. It’s chock full of singularity vibes:

-snip-

As I told a journalist who asked me about the post, I wouldn’t take it so seriously:

Shumer’s blog post is weaponized hype that tells people want they want to hear, but stumbles on the facts, especially with respect to reliability. He gives no actual data to support this claim that the latest coding systems can write whole complex apps without making errors. Similarly, when he describes how AI’s are doing longer and longer tasks on METR’s famous task-time benchmark, he neglects to say the criterion on that benchmark is 50% correct, not 100%, and that the benchmark is only about coding and not tasks in general. No AI system can reliably do every five-hour long task humans can do without error, or even close, but you wouldn’t know that reading Shumer’s blog, which largely ignores all the hallucination and boneheaded errors that are so common in every day experience. And of course Shumer didn’t cite the new Caltech/Stanford article that reviews a wide range of reasoning errors in so-called reasoning models [or the Apple reasoning paper or the ASU mirage paper, etc]. The picture he sells just isn’t realistic, however much people might wish it were true. I should add that Shumer is the guy who was once famous for apparently exaggerated claims about a big model of his that didn’t replicate and that many people saw a fraud; he likes to sell big. But that doesn’t mean we should take him seriously.


-snip-


Gary then goes into detail on why Shumer's hysterical post shouldn't be taken seriously. AI models can write code. It's still all too often flawed code that is a security risk.

Gary links to this article:

https://www.itpro.com/software/development/ai-generated-code-is-fast-becoming-the-biggest-enterprise-security-risk-as-teams-struggle-with-the-illusion-of-correctness

AI-generated code is fast becoming the biggest enterprise security risk as teams struggle with the ‘illusion of correctness’
Security teams are scrambling to catch AI-generated flaws that appear correct before disaster strikes

By Emma Woollacott
published 5 February 2026


AI has overtaken all other factors in reshaping security priorities, with teams now forced to deal with AI-generated code that appears correct, professional, and production-ready – but that quietly introduces security risks.

-snip-

Aikido found that AI-generated code is now the cause of one-in-five breaches, with 69% of security leaders, engineers, and developers on both sides of the Atlantic having found serious vulnerabilities.

These risk factors are further exacerbated by the fact many developers are placing too much faith in the technology when coding. A separate survey from Sonar found nearly half of devs fail to check AI-generated code, placing their organization at huge risk.


Emphasis added.


Some posts from Bluesky about Shumer below...and also see reply 3 for background on other hype Shumer has been ridiculed for, and for the info that the AI company he's CEO of offers "cutting edge AI tools like "Team Member Praise Generator" and "AI Sympathy Message Generator by HyperWrite for Heartfelt Cards".

Surely, the author of the “AI is an existential threat to the economy and your wellbeing, and the only solution is to use more AI immediately, please” has no financial incentive in making people believe that. Now to take a big sip of my coffee and check out his bio…

Luis Paez-Pumar (@lpp.bsky.social) 2026-02-11T13:47:42.108Z


I shouldn’t even bother engaging with this idiotic article but I always find it funny when AI guys are like “you better become an early adopter or you’ll be left behind!” If the tech is as good as they claim, and can do what they claim, any idiot should be able to use it with no practice.

Luis Paez-Pumar (@lpp.bsky.social) 2026-02-11T13:51:03.109Z


But of course, the goal isn’t to change the world or whatever, it’s just to take everyone’s money. I don’t think that writing this alarmist crap with the lesson of “buy a Claude subscription or you’ll ruin your life” should work, but given the reaction, it just might.

Luis Paez-Pumar (@lpp.bsky.social) 2026-02-11T13:53:10.821Z


reads like an ai generated article to me

cavan (@cfos.bsky.social) 2026-02-11T15:59:00.764Z


He admitted it was

Luis Paez-Pumar (@lpp.bsky.social) 2026-02-11T19:33:23.108Z


Everyone reading ‘Something Big is Happening’ and losing their minds.

In reality Matt Shumer has consistently overhyped AI.

In 2024 he was accused of fraud when researchers were unable to replicate the supposed top performance of a new LLM he released called Reflection 70B.

Steve Strickland (@stevestrickland6.bsky.social) 2026-02-11T21:24:31.445Z


21 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Tyvm for clarifying! SheltieLover Wednesday #1
Yvw, Sheltie! highplainsdem Wednesday #5
😊👍 SheltieLover Wednesday #8
Thanks! Appreciate your effort in calling out some of the hyperbole , and attendant hubris. - - - - -(nt)- stopdiggin Wednesday #2
You're welcome! I should have done more checking and posted this earlier, but had a lot of other highplainsdem Wednesday #7
More on Matt Shumer here, starting with a Bluesky post from a journalist working for PC Gamer: highplainsdem Wednesday #3
i regularly correspond with Gary Marcus Metaphorical Wednesday #4
I've had some great exchanges with Gary, too. I'd have trusted him more than Matt Shumer in any highplainsdem Wednesday #10
I've brought this up before in your posts, but as a developer with 25 years experience, it really IS scary. FascismIsDeath Wednesday #6
this also ... A well thought, and absolutely solid 'take' on the overall picture. Thanks! stopdiggin Wednesday #11
I'm sorry that AI's coding ability is becoming such a threat to developers' jobs. But part of the reason highplainsdem Wednesday #12
The "junior level" developers who prompt and review this code are just fall guys. hunter Thursday #18
Pascal was the first language I really learned. FascismIsDeath Thursday #19
Thanks for putting this together. Good stuff. WhiskeyGrinder Wednesday #9
You're welcome! I wish I'd read about Shumer hours earlier. highplainsdem Wednesday #13
See reply 14. Shumer needed AI to write that crap. He's really AI-addled. highplainsdem Wednesday #15
Yeah it was clear from reading it. WhiskeyGrinder Wednesday #16
That twit Shumer needed AI to help him write that piece of weaponized hype (as Gary Marcus called it): highplainsdem Wednesday #14
Kick highplainsdem Wednesday #17
Yeah I clicked on it - and then realized it was just a AI glazefest. 617Blue Thursday #20
Reddit thread & YouTube video on why Shumer was accused of fraud in 2024: highplainsdem Thursday #21
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