General Discussion

systemic modeling shortcomings that result in negative revisions later and the current situation under Crumb the 1st involve legitimate doubts about the numbers and fears of influence from political pressure especially since the sacking of the head of BLS when a jobs report got issued that he didn't like. The preferred method of operation for this administration is always to make gross exaggerations, tell lies (even in court cases) and keep anything contradictory suppressed. That's all well documented and so we are hardly in "comparable" operating conditions to any previous Administration.

So although one can say how the model normally has performed but that is under normal circumstances and "normal circumstances" left the building long ago.