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surfered

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24. My post yesterday

Reply to comradebillyboy (Original post)

Fri Dec 12, 2025, 06:37 PM

Dec 12

I have tremendous respect for Jasmine Crockett. I would vote for her because she's attractive, smart, and courageous, but getting elected in Texas will be an uphill climb for her. James Talarico is also very smart and has a better chance of defeating Cornyn and even a better chance of beating Paxton if he defeats Cornyn in the primary.

My reasoning is based solely upon the margins in previous Texas races:

Presidential Elections:

2008 McCain 55% Obama 44% white male vs black male
2012 Romney 57% Obama 41% white male vs black male
2016 Trump 52% Hillary 43% white male vs white female
2020 Trump 52% Biden 46% White male vs white male
2024 Trump 56% Harris 42% White male vs black female

Senate Elections:

2018 Cruz 52% O'Rourke 48% White male vs white male
2020 Cornyn 54% Hegar 44% White male vs white female
2024 Cruz 53% Allred 45% White male vs black male. Note: Allred was a beloved NFL player, turned Civil Rights Lawyer and Cruz went to Cancun when the state froze.

Republicans defeat Democrats every time. Women and women of color fare worse than white males.

Why? Because Texas......I don't like it, but those are the results.

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Highlight:

Jasmine Crockett Leads Democratic Field in Texas [View all] comradebillyboy Dec 12 OP

Talarico is a holy roller, a Presbyterian seminarian. ananda Dec 12 #1

Talarico 'isn't black enough' ! Jack Valentino Dec 12 #5

LOL ananda Dec 12 #7

Hey--- Texas African-Americans deserve to have the chance to support an Jack Valentino Dec 12 #8

Colin Allred lost to Ted Cruz... ananda Dec 12 #21

Colin Allred soldierant Dec 12 #28

Yes, they both have a lot of class. ananda Dec 12 #31

Talarico is a former public school teacher, was raised by a single mother, was one of the Texas summer_in_TX Dec 13 #36

Looks like Texans have two great candidates to comradebillyboy Dec 13 #41

I was stoked about Talarico because Sweet Freedom Dec 12 #2

The Democratic primary for U.S. Senate in Texas is OVER. Jack Valentino Dec 12 #3

Are you from Texas? pinkstarburst Dec 12 #11

His profile says Michigan. littlemissmartypants Dec 12 #12

Well, that explains why he hasn't heard of him pinkstarburst Dec 12 #14

My pleasure, pinkstarburst. ❤️ littlemissmartypants Dec 12 #15

I'm gonna guess that is a big fat no Skittles Dec 12 #18

If you, someone interested in politics, never heard of him, karynnj Dec 12 #30

Whomever the Dem nominee gets my vote. I do think Talarico's Hispanic heritage and religious walkingman Dec 12 #4

Concur. Talarico is likely a better fit for the Texas electorate. n/t yowzayowzayowza Dec 12 #6

except the majority of Texas white voters WON'T VOTE for ANY 'DEMOCRAT'! Jack Valentino Dec 12 #9

No "fantasy about getting Republicans to vote for a Democrat" was proffered. n/t yowzayowzayowza Dec 12 #10

A candidate like Crockett pinkstarburst Dec 12 #13

I expect repubs to cross over in the primary and vote for her TBF Dec 12 #17

With all due respect you really need to stop - TBF Dec 12 #16

it's more about getting the non-voters out there Skittles Dec 12 #19

Jasmine Crockett would best galvanize the Democratic base and mobilize non-voters. Emile Dec 12 #20

Talarico is great as well. It's sad that many here don't know about him Wiz Imp Dec 12 #22

Talarico so far has a waybhigher ceiling than Crockett SSJVegeta Dec 12 #23

A lively Primary Race will increase familiarity with both candidates. thought crime Dec 14 #43

My post yesterday surfered Dec 12 #24

2014 Davis v. Abbott for governor - TBF Dec 12 #25

Yep! Doesn't look much like a purple state. surfered Dec 12 #26

We moved here 20+ years ago - TBF Dec 12 #27

Sad but true! Our little beach town used to be 70% Democratic in the 70s now it's 30% surfered Dec 12 #33

People forget a democrat has not won a statewide race in Texas since 1994! fujiyamasan Dec 13 #38

What you're sayin' is, as far as Jasmine winning, 3Hotdogs Dec 12 #29

Sadly, yes. surfered Dec 12 #34

K&R UTUSN Dec 12 #32

Hoping she wins the primary MichMan Dec 12 #35

That's the issue - the republicans will cross over & guarantee that TBF Dec 13 #39

Yup, this is exactly what is happening pinkstarburst Dec 13 #40

Not sure that will happen as Cornyn is being challenged by Paxton in the Republican primary. MichMan Dec 13 #42

Paxton's pretty far ahead - TBF Dec 14 #44

Historically, Crocketts haven't fared well in Texas. At least from what I remember. n/t Captain Stern Dec 13 #37