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reACTIONary

(7,000 posts)
8. He seems to be pointing out a systemic issue....
Fri Dec 12, 2025, 12:31 AM
Dec 12
Much of the issue is how the Department of Labor counts jobs added or subtracted when new businesses are opened or others close shop. The government can’t easily reach out to companies just starting out, or that have gone out of business, so the Bureau of Labor Statistics uses a statistical model to guess. In recent years, BLS numbers have overstated job creation, sometimes by hundreds of thousands of jobs a year, resulting in revisions showing less jobs later.

We all know and expect revisions to these stats over time, and it seems to affect both over and under estimating, depending on whether there are more startups or more shutdowns.

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