re-election chances of the current president.
Who would like that upset? Peter Thiel and other tech bros.
Why? Thiel and some of the others have invested in Prospera City, Honduras. It's a Network State or "freedom city."
https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2025/12/why-did-trump-pardon-the-former-honduran-president-follow-the-tech-bros
So why would an administration hell bent on punishing drug traffickers pardon a kingpin like Hernandez?
Some have argued that this could simply be a way to make trouble for the left- wing successor to Hernández, the current Honduran president Xiomara Castro, who has been a strong critic of Trumps mass deportations. In a recent thread on X, right-wing extremism researcher Jennifer Cohn unearthed an article from January that Trumps longtime adviser Roger Stonethe convicted and now pardoned felon and political strategistwrote with conservative commentator Shane Trejo. They suggested that Trump pardon Hernández as a way of trolling Castro:
Castros statements in recent weeks in defiance of President Trumps proposal of mass deportations have raised her profile and caused enmity to build against her from the America First right. Castros provocations of President Trump, a desperate attempt to rally Hondurans to her side in an election year, may backfire and prove to be her undoing as Trump has quite a bit of leverage at his disposal to upend her fledgling regime.
But they went further in elaborating the benefits of this strategy. In helping to unseat Castro, Stone and Trejo wrote, Trump could both crush socialism and save a freedom city in Honduras. The freedom city in question, they explained, was Próspera, a special economic zone founded in Honduras by a cadre of American tech titans including Peter Thiel and Marc Andreessenboth friends and fans of Trump family.