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Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(133,677 posts)
Tue Aug 19, 2025, 01:40 PM Aug 2025

Even if you can't trust the data, these 13 warning signs will tell you the economy is in trouble [View all]

For decades, statistics that came directly from the U.S. government, especially from agencies like the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), have long been the gold standard for measuring the health of the American economy. But this trust has been shaken by recent events, including substantial downward revisions to jobs data, bruising political accusations, and the unceremonious dismissal of Erika McEntarfer, the BLS’s top official, at the beginning of the month. The resulting uncertainty has left many Americans asking: If official government data can’t be trusted, how can you know if the economy is struggling?

-snip-

So this invites the question: If you cannot trust official numbers, what concrete signs reveal economic trouble? Economists point to several alternative indicators that, individually and collectively, offer insight—often visible without needing to consult official statistics. Here are the telltale signs the average person, or a skeptical observer, should watch for.

Beyond the numbers: Recognizing economic distress
1. Labor market conditions
Even in the absence of official jobs figures, warning signs often emerge in the labor market:

More visibly unemployed people: Lines lengthening at job centers, more “help wanted” signs vanishing, and rising rates of layoffs reported by major companies.

Wage stagnation: If you and those around you are not receiving raises, or if companies pull back on hiring bonuses and perks, it often reflects broader malaise.

-more-

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/even-t-trust-data-13-160021876.html

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