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lapfog_1

(31,694 posts)
29. Everyone has opinions... few have facts
Sun May 25, 2025, 09:10 PM
May 2025

I work for one of the largest tech companies leading the AI revolution. I am a software architect in the Advanced Technology part of our business. For various reasons I cannot tell you which company or express an opinion online about the future of AI.

So far, generative AI is simply a predictive algorithm. It uses your prompt to create a neural net of relationships based on ML data harvested ( sometimes illegally ) from the vast amounts of data created in the past by humans ( and now derivative data from other AIs ). This data can lead the neural net to create obvious mistakes in the answer to the prompt you give it. The age old problem known as GIGO ( Garbage In Garbage Out ) is still with us.

However, there are new advances every day... advances in compute power to form the relationships, Agentic AI that attempts to evaluate multiple answers to a single prompt and produce a consensus view of the "correct" answer. And in the field of genetic algorithms ( this is where the AI runs the neural net multiple times with slightly different evaluators and modifications to the inference tokens coming from multiple AIs ).

None of this is real intelligence. None of this is "outside the box" thinking or innovation. That said, by looking at the vast amount of data available... AI can ( and has ) applied many "facts" to the prompt or question posed... allowing it to come up with "new" ways to think about the issue in the prompt.

As for taking away jobs... that is happening, and has been happening long before AI. Robotics are replacing people in factories at a far faster rate than we are prepared to address. When Trump applies tariffs to "force the return of manufacturing to the USA", he might succeed... but there won't be many jobs coming with that.

I already use AI everyday to write software to manage the process of creating new AI. I don't know how many programming jobs will be available in 20 years time ( possibly 10 years ).

AI is not over hyped... and is not under hyped. It will transform industry... The smart money is investing billions to make it so, just like the internet build out in the 1990s and 2000s before it.

I am reaching the end of my career in Computer Science... and of course I am a bit worried about what will come. Some might say "how can you contribute to this"... and I do wrestle with my decision. On the other hand, you cannot hold back the ocean with a pitchfork. And the good may outweigh the bad. AI, like the Web, the Internet, and computers in general, are just tools. Powerful tools, but just tools. I do not worry that someday my computer will "wake up" and want me to explain funny once or funny always jokes to it ( with a tip of my hat to Robert Heinlein and The Moon Is A Harsh Mistress ). at least I currently see no evidence of that.

Recommendations

2 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Trepidation... hlthe2b May 2025 #1
Kind of scary, I think of how AI has been depicted in movies, even this very old one still makes me think... wcmagumba May 2025 #2
You seem to be asking for a thousand-word essay on what AI is, along with all of your other questions. SWBTATTReg May 2025 #3
Like most previous technological innovations, anciano May 2025 #4
A Pandora's box of a bad idea buzzycrumbhunger May 2025 #5
Let's ask Mikey dweller May 2025 #6
There's no such thing as 'artificial' intelligence... J_William_Ryan May 2025 #7
That is what is so interesting, and scary, about the development of AI... kentuck May 2025 #8
It's an aggregator of information wrapped in friendly logic. bucolic_frolic May 2025 #9
My opinion is that it is dangerous. hamsterjill May 2025 #10
Think within a few years most people will wonder how we got along without it, just like computers, Silent Type May 2025 #11
My son is very involved with AI. He is in on convos cachukis May 2025 #12
I don't know if customerserviceguy May 2025 #17
Same church, different pew. cachukis May 2025 #22
Sound like the porn industry will suffer Polybius May 2025 #25
I rather like Cory Doctorow's take EarlG May 2025 #13
A.I. can't yet fix your furnace or your plumbing or restock store shelves--- Jack Valentino May 2025 #30
How intelligent? Three legs and hands with six fingers. Norrrm May 2025 #14
That's from last year. Now? It's insane how fast it's progressing Arazi May 2025 #18
Much improved. Norrrm May 2025 #20
It's built entirely on theft of others' work Arazi May 2025 #15
It's either customerserviceguy May 2025 #16
It's the devil. Scrivener7 May 2025 #19
Once more for those in the back dweller May 2025 #21
I think it's all just hype biocube May 2025 #23
Artificial Intelligence isn't limited to Large Language Models. LudwigPastorius May 2025 #32
That in the very least it is highly ecologically destructive misanthrope May 2025 #24
It will either cure every disease and get us to Mars in a day... Polybius May 2025 #26
Artificial. elleng May 2025 #27
"Artificial" RB77 May 2025 #28
Everyone has opinions... few have facts lapfog_1 May 2025 #29
This message was self-deleted by its author Arazi May 2025 #39
Extraordinarily pessimistic. Multivariate risk analysis points to a dystopian hellscape being a likely outcome. Celerity May 2025 #31
About 40 years ago, I heard a talk from somebody studying artificial neural nets struggle4progress May 2025 #33
I was reading a really interesting article on it this morning about the three different stages meadowlander May 2025 #34
Musk's young goon squad believe AI will be godlike within a few years Arazi May 2025 #36
It's still at the large learning machine more than AI. haele May 2025 #35
AI Seems to be Stupid a lot of the time. MineralMan May 2025 #37
The Luddites may have been on to something. Ping Tung May 2025 #38
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