The ability to achieve 2030 energy targets hinges more on system alignment rather than the delivery of new generation technology.

BY
RUTH DAWKINS - 23 FEBRUARY 2026

Key points

• Countries that align investment signals with electricity system build-out will convert spending into delivered capacity faster and at lower cost.
• CSIRO’s role is to reduce technical and cost risks so industry can adopt lower-emissions solutions with confidence.
• The scale of our current and historic greenhouse gas emissions means carbon capture and storage is imperative.

CSIRO director of energy, Dr Dietmar Tourbier, is often asked about 2050 – Australia’s long-term net-zero destination. But as 2026 begins, his focus is drawn to a much closer horizon.

“It’s often easy to focus on 2050 as that all-important target,” Dr Tourbier said. “But there’s a nearer-term deadline posing more questions.”

According to data from the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO), renewables made up 51 per cent of the National Electricity Market (NEM) in the fourth quarter of 2025. This is a significant achievement but brings Australia’s goal of reaching 82 per cent renewable electricity by 2030 firmly under the microscope.

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