Trump Is Wrong. The US Does Not Subsidize Canada
In fact, its the other way around. These numbers show a tariff war makes no sense.
Jim Stanford Today The Tyee
Jim Stanford is economist and director of the Centre for Future Work in Vancouver, and author of the recent report Whos Subsidizing Whom? Myth and Reality about the Canada-U.S. Trade Balance.
U.S. president-elect Donald Trump has pledged to impose immediate across-the-board 25 per cent tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico, even higher tariffs on China and tariffs on other countries as well. He says they will start with executive orders on Monday, his inauguration day.
Initially, these threats were interpreted as a strategy to exert leverage over other countries on a range of trade and non-trade matters, from border issues to defence spending to taxes and regulations on U.S.-based tech giants. That may have been wishful thinking, because Trumps rhetoric has now turned more ominous.
Reports suggest he may invoke a national economic emergency to activate special presidential powers. And he has spoken of using economic force to effectively annex Canada, as part of a broader strategy of territorial expansion (potentially including Greenland, Mexico and Panama).
Trumps aggressive and unpredictable approach means Canadians must take these threats very seriously.
The impact on Canadian employment and GDP from a major across-the-board tariff on our exports to the United States (which constitute the large majority of our exports) would be devastating, almost certainly causing a protracted recession.
More:
https://thetyee.ca/Analysis/2025/01/15/Trump-Wrong-US-Does-Not-Subsidize-Canada/
hlthe2b
(107,227 posts)sigh... The MSM is really collapsing on itself, isn't it? Even Canadian media...
tetedur
(1,115 posts)Martin Eden
(13,667 posts)He's merely follwing Putin's orders.
aka-chmeee
(1,186 posts)A blanket declaration which requires no explanation
Bernardo de La Paz
(51,820 posts)The article makes nine points, which I list just the titles here. Read the article for discussion of each point.
1. Canada is the largest market in the world for U.S. exports.
2. The Canada-U.S. trade relationship is among the most balanced of all major U.S. trading partners.
3. The bilateral deficit with Canada ranks 10th among U.S. trading partners, accounting for only five per cent of the total U.S. trade deficit.
4. Trumps claim the bilateral deficit is $200 billion is an utter fabrication.
5. Compared with a two-way trade flow of almost US$1 trillion per year, this imbalance is puny.
6. The United States enjoys a strong surplus in services trade with Canada,
7. The United States also enjoys a net surplus on investment income flowing out of Canada (C$13 billion in 2023).
8. Most Canadian exports to the United States are unfinished inputs that U.S. businesses use in their own production more so than with other trading partners.
9. Having access to a secure and lower-cost energy source is a major benefit for U.S. businesses and consumers.
Three edited points:
1. Canada is the only large net oil-exporting country without a state-owned oil producer, and U.S. companies own $55 billion worth of our oil and gas sector.
2. Large Canadian imports of services from the United States are weakly regulated, underreported and largely untaxed (and thus subsidized relative to other businesses).
3. Canadian investors made $700 billion worth of low-interest loans to the United States, fully offsetting the bilateral trade deficit over the past decade. Despite that, Canada incurs a large net deficit in investment income: $13 billion in net interest and profits flows south each year.
LaMouffette
(2,322 posts)there even if the tariffs are eventually removed, just like they did during COVID?
Midnight Writer
(23,249 posts)LetMyPeopleVote
(156,451 posts)The US has a trade deficit with Canada but that is largely due to buying oil and other resources from Canada.
twodogsbarking
(12,306 posts)Baron2024
(316 posts)Trump's idea of annexing Canada is deranged, dangerous and incompetent. It is also stupid. If in some fantasy universe Canada and the USA merged, Canada would not be the 51st state. Canada has ten provinces. If each province became a state, that would be a total of 60 US states in the new mega-country (50 US states plus 10 new Canadian ones). It would not be one massive 51st super-state. That would be ten more states, twenty more US Senators and many more House Representatives. The entire idea is stupid, outlandish and ridiculous, but if something like that ever happened it would not be what Trump seems to imagine in his deranged little imagination.