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mahatmakanejeeves

(69,023 posts) Tue Feb 17, 2026, 09:23 AM Feb 17

ADP Employment Change 4-week average rises to 10,250 through January 31

Source: FXStreet

News
ADP Employment Change 4-week average rises to 10,250 through January 31

02/17/2026 13:59:45 GMT | By Ghiles Guezout

ADP Employment Change 4-week average rises to 10,250 through January 31

* US private employers added an average of 10,250 jobs per week in late January.
* Job gains strengthen for a third consecutive week.

Employment in the United States (US) private sector continues to expand at a moderate pace, with companies adding an average of 10,250 jobs per week in the four weeks ending January 31, according to the NER Pulse, a weekly update of the monthly ADP National Employment Report.

The latest reading marks the third consecutive week of strengthening job gains, suggesting a gradual improvement in hiring momentum at the start of the year. The steady increase indicates that private employers maintain a cautious but positive approach to workforce expansion.

{snip}

Read more: https://www.fxstreet.com/amp/news/adp-employment-change-4-week-average-rises-to-10-250-through-january-31-202602171359

6 replies

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ADP Employment Change 4-week average rises to 10,250 through January 31 (Original Post) mahatmakanejeeves Feb 17 OP

How many of those are someone's second or third job though? ck4829 Feb 17 #1

Now we're gonna get the weekly updates? Prairie Gates Feb 17 #2

ADP just started publishing the 4-week report in October of 2025. Wiz Imp Feb 17 #3

To be honest, it might not be all that important. I posted it mostly to keep in practice. mahatmakanejeeves Feb 17 #4

Grocery prices are down too. twodogsbarking Feb 17 #5

Interesting - the BLS in their big jobs report reported an increase of 172,000 private sector jobs in January progree Feb 17 #6

ck4829

(37,583 posts)

1. How many of those are someone's second or third job though?

Reply to mahatmakanejeeves (Original post)

Tue Feb 17, 2026, 09:57 AM

Feb 17

Prairie Gates

(7,699 posts)

2. Now we're gonna get the weekly updates?

Reply to mahatmakanejeeves (Original post)

Tue Feb 17, 2026, 10:00 AM

Feb 17

Wiz Imp

(9,600 posts)

3. ADP just started publishing the 4-week report in October of 2025.

Reply to Prairie Gates (Reply #2)

Tue Feb 17, 2026, 10:18 AM

Feb 17

Some weeks it gets attention in the media, other times it doesn't. The monthly report always gets attention.
https://www.reuters.com/business/adp-says-it-will-publish-weekly-us-private-employment-data-payrolls-up-average-2025-10-28/

ADP will publish weekly US private payrolls data, estimates job gains averaged 14,250 in 4 weeks to Oct 11
WASHINGTON, Oct 28 (Reuters) - U.S. private payrolls increased by an average 14,250 jobs in the four weeks ending October 11, the ADP National Employment Report's inaugural weekly preliminary estimate showed on Tuesday.

ADP said in a statement it would publish a weekly preliminary estimate of the ADP National Employment Report every Tuesday effective October 28, based on its high-frequency data.

"The preliminary U.S. estimate will provide a four-week moving average of the latest total private employment change, offering the most current, representative picture of the private-sector labor market," ADP said.

The monthly employment report, jointly developed with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, will continue to be published.

This weeks number, while it may have increased 2 weeks in a row, 10,250 jobs per week is still terrible.

mahatmakanejeeves

(69,023 posts)

4. To be honest, it might not be all that important. I posted it mostly to keep in practice.

Reply to Prairie Gates (Reply #2)

Tue Feb 17, 2026, 11:37 AM

Feb 17

Last edited Tue Feb 17, 2026, 05:07 PM - Edit history (1)

I had a hard time finding any news source that thought it merited any attention. I should take the hint. I probably won't do this again next week.

Thanks for writing. I appreciate the feedback.

twodogsbarking

(18,241 posts)

5. Grocery prices are down too.

Reply to mahatmakanejeeves (Original post)

Tue Feb 17, 2026, 01:46 PM

Feb 17

progree

(12,861 posts)

6. Interesting - the BLS in their big jobs report reported an increase of 172,000 private sector jobs in January

Reply to mahatmakanejeeves (Original post)

Tue Feb 17, 2026, 03:59 PM

Feb 17

in their February 11 report
LBN Thread https://www.democraticunderground.com/10143614651

BLS non-farm payroll jobs, monthly changes (the +130,000 headline number that the media reported as a "surge" )
https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES0000000001?output_view=net_1mth

BLS non-farm PRIVATE SECTOR payroll jobs, monthly changes (+172,000 in January)
https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES0500000001?output_view=net_1mth

(The ADP reports only report on PRIVATE sector jobs, so for an apples-to-apples comparision, they should be compared to the BLS PRIVATE sector jobs numbers. The ADP NER Pulse in the OP is saying 10,250 X 4 = 41,000 private sector jobs created in a 4-week period ending January 31 -- less than 1/4 of the BLS private sector number. No wonder the media doesn't think it is important. )

The BLS report is the same report that revised down 2024 and 2025 by a combined nearly 1 million jobs. leaving only 181,000 net new jobs in all of 2025 (15k/month average)
https://www.democraticunderground.com/10143614651#post38

ETA-
ADP processes payrolls for 20% of the private sector payroll employed, and estimates the other 80%. It's a non-governmental report, so the report's timing is not subject to the government shutdown/startup schedule.

The ultimate source: https://www.adpresearch.com/
and look for "NER Pulse"

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