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BumRushDaShow

(146,207 posts)
Mon Jan 27, 2025, 07:19 AM Monday

Trump's Colombia tariff threat raises fears on coffee prices

Source: Axios

Updated 8 hours ago


President Trump's threat to impose retaliatory 25% tariffs on Colombia briefly ignited fears of a further surge in already high coffee prices.

Why it matters: Beans from Colombia make up 20% of U.S. coffee imports, and the only source larger, Brazil, is struggling with weak crops after a series of weather disasters.

Catch up quick: On Sunday Trump said he would impose an emergency 25% tariffs on all goods imported from Colombia — rising to 50% in one week — after the country refused to accept two deportation flights from the U.S.

  • A few hours later, the White House said it was pausing those tariffs after Colombia agreed to Trump's terms.


  • Zoom out: Coffee prices were already surging before the tariff threat.

  • Coffee futures are up 45% in the last six months.
  • Bloomberg reported last week that wholesale prices recently eclipsed all-time highs set in the late 1970s, and that it was only a matter of days to a few weeks until retail prices followed suit.
  • As it stands, consumer coffee prices are already at multi-decade highs, per Consumer Price Index data.


  • Read more: https://www.axios.com/2025/01/26/trump-colombia-tariffs-coffee



    Since coffee is a global commodity, even if something like this didn't impact other coffee export countries like Ethiopia or Jamaica or even here, with Hawai'i's kona crop, the commodities market sets the price trends.

    Meanwhile I have a coffee plant overwintering in my basement at the moment. Am hoping that it will have its first bloom this year (it'll be 8 years old this year so now coming into maturity).
    24 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
    Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
    Trump's Colombia tariff threat raises fears on coffee prices (Original Post) BumRushDaShow Monday OP
    And flowers Aviation Pro Monday #1
    Didn't Columbia agree to take the deported.............. Lovie777 Monday #2
    Yes but remember, the "threat" is still there BumRushDaShow Monday #4
    But Colombia caved Miguelito Loveless Monday #17
    That still doesn't mean that it won't impact the prices BumRushDaShow Monday #18
    Once they go up, they'll never come down again. Oopsie Daisy Monday #3
    TSF claimed victory speak easy Monday #5
    But that won't matter with coffee prices BumRushDaShow Monday #6
    Daughter was on Amazon last night, said the box of coffee she had in her cart went up Ziggysmom Monday #7
    That's why I bought a pile of k-cups om 1/16 and they were delivered 1/20 BumRushDaShow Monday #8
    Good idea on the instant, I'm a coffee addict, so now I am getting some for just in case I run out Ziggysmom Monday #15
    When I was at the supermarket this past Friday BumRushDaShow Monday #16
    Coffee, schmoffee, what about the price of Don Jr's cocaine? JustABozoOnThisBus Monday #9
    Have been looking into what it would take to grow chicory. Attilatheblond Monday #10
    Colombia caved. 33taw Monday #11
    Can anyone confirm this? AverageOldGuy Monday #12
    A response from the President of Colombia was posted in another thread BumRushDaShow Monday #13
    Let me see and let me think. Colombia elects a leftist President and GreenWave Monday #14
    It's a good thing I only drink Kona coffee. catbyte Monday #19
    Bought a pig in a poke ... NotHardly Monday #20
    Tough shit Trump voters. Hope that crap over at the Starbucks goes to $20.00 a cup Bengus81 Monday #21
    Coffee prices Maninacan Monday #22
    I can't help but wonder Gymbo Monday #23
    Rising local coffee prices made the local noon news Deminpenn Tuesday #24

    BumRushDaShow

    (146,207 posts)
    4. Yes but remember, the "threat" is still there
    Mon Jan 27, 2025, 07:47 AM
    Monday

    and as a commodity on the global markets, the speculators will run rampant like they do with "threats" to the oil supply (actual/realized ones or not).

    BumRushDaShow

    (146,207 posts)
    18. That still doesn't mean that it won't impact the prices
    Mon Jan 27, 2025, 10:25 AM
    Monday

    They were already up before this latest brouhaha. Commodities react on "threats", whether "perceived" or "actual". "Supply" and "Demand" might come in second although these types of price rises often prompt "demand" (just in case) and that reduces the supply, forcing more upward pricing.



    (above from here - https://www.seeitmarket.com/commodities-analysis-the-january-trend-trade/)

    BumRushDaShow

    (146,207 posts)
    6. But that won't matter with coffee prices
    Mon Jan 27, 2025, 08:09 AM
    Monday

    It's no different than what happens if Turkey decides to threaten to attack the Kurds in Northern Iraq - then since Iraq is an oil-producer, that will "set the global oil markets off into the stratosphere" with speculative trading.

    Ziggysmom

    (3,693 posts)
    7. Daughter was on Amazon last night, said the box of coffee she had in her cart went up
    Mon Jan 27, 2025, 08:20 AM
    Monday

    Five dollars, during the time she was shopping.

    We are living in hell

    BumRushDaShow

    (146,207 posts)
    8. That's why I bought a pile of k-cups om 1/16 and they were delivered 1/20
    Mon Jan 27, 2025, 08:26 AM
    Monday

    and just put in an order for some jars of instant this morning to be delivered today.

    The k-cups are now showing "shipping in 1-3 weeks".

    Ziggysmom

    (3,693 posts)
    15. Good idea on the instant, I'm a coffee addict, so now I am getting some for just in case I run out
    Mon Jan 27, 2025, 09:29 AM
    Monday

    of the regular stuff. Thanks for the suggestion

    BumRushDaShow

    (146,207 posts)
    16. When I was at the supermarket this past Friday
    Mon Jan 27, 2025, 09:35 AM
    Monday

    and saw the egg section almost empty with a taped-up sign apologizing about it being due to "supply issues", I thought about that for coffee too, so figured I better get some before they suddenly run out!

    Attilatheblond

    (4,969 posts)
    10. Have been looking into what it would take to grow chicory.
    Mon Jan 27, 2025, 08:39 AM
    Monday

    Not a big coffee drinker and have been mixing the root into my brew. I think I could manage if I can 'grow my own.

    AverageOldGuy

    (2,366 posts)
    12. Can anyone confirm this?
    Mon Jan 27, 2025, 08:59 AM
    Monday

    Trump is claiming victory over Colombia, however, I just read a comment to an article in the Washington Post that stated:

    Trump won nothing. For several years the US and Colombia have had a repatriation agreement whereby Colombians in the US illegally are deported: (1) scheduled flights about every two weeks; (2) deportees treated humanely; and (3) flights on civilian aircraft.

    Colombia insisted that deportation flights be conducted as per the existing agreement, no unannounced military flights with people sitting the floor in handcuffs. Trump backed down and agreed to honor the existing agreement.

    Maybe that's what we need to be shouting about.

    I have searched for the existing agreement, found references to it, but can't find a copy.

    BumRushDaShow

    (146,207 posts)
    13. A response from the President of Colombia was posted in another thread
    Mon Jan 27, 2025, 09:28 AM
    Monday
    https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1014&pid=3381840

    (I think both the Spanish and English versions were posted by the same poster in a different OP too)

    And 45 will "claim" whatever bullshit he wants and the media will dutifully regurgitate it.

    It's possible (or probable) that the updated agreements were on the Biden Administration webpages which were all taken down after the transition, so it might be harder to find outside of searching the Wayback machine or an equivalent web archive site.

    GreenWave

    (9,858 posts)
    14. Let me see and let me think. Colombia elects a leftist President and
    Mon Jan 27, 2025, 09:28 AM
    Monday

    he tells the world T is sending back "illegals" chained and shackled in military planes, so he refuses such barbaric treatment.
    So IQ 45-47 = -2 decides to go the tariff route,

    So far no punishment dealt to the righty tighties.

    catbyte

    (36,195 posts)
    19. It's a good thing I only drink Kona coffee.
    Mon Jan 27, 2025, 10:26 AM
    Monday

    I get it shipped from a coffee plantation on the Big Island and it's awesome.

    Bengus81

    (7,712 posts)
    21. Tough shit Trump voters. Hope that crap over at the Starbucks goes to $20.00 a cup
    Mon Jan 27, 2025, 11:37 AM
    Monday

    Then you can still spew (as you set in a 15 car line at the drive through)...but the price of eggs,the price of eggs!

    Which BTW MAGA MORANS is now going UP again.

    Maninacan

    (55 posts)
    22. Coffee prices
    Mon Jan 27, 2025, 02:23 PM
    Monday

    8.99 coffee is now 12.99 . Just in the last few months. Will probably go up a lot now.

    Gymbo

    (148 posts)
    23. I can't help but wonder
    Mon Jan 27, 2025, 02:37 PM
    Monday

    What would Trump do if Mexico and Colombia sent their American citizens packing back to the USA? They would be essentially homeless, and finding them housing and job assistance would be next to impossible. Trump would also become an instant bad guy for allowing that to happen.

    Deminpenn

    (16,435 posts)
    24. Rising local coffee prices made the local noon news
    Tue Jan 28, 2025, 12:27 PM
    Tuesday

    on KDKA, the Pgh CBS affiliate, today.

    The story got a full 2 minutes out of a 30 minute newscast. It explained how global uncertainty about tariffs have driven up coffee futures to a record high and, more importantly, linked the uncertainty to Trump threatening tariffs on Columbia because they turned back a US deportation flight.

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