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RandySF

(87,561 posts)
Mon Jun 15, 2026, 05:41 PM Monday

Poll: Democrats maintain an edge in the fight for Congress as Trump gets poor marks

President Donald Trump’s poor approval rating continues to weigh down his party ahead of the midterms — though the GOP has a slim measure of separation from the president, with Democrats holding a 5-point lead in the battle for control of Congress, according to a new national NBC News poll.

The poll — which was sponsored by More Perfect, a nonpartisan nonprofit dedicated to advancing democracy — found 49% of registered voters say they prefer to see Democrats control Congress as a result of this year’s elections, compared to 44% who prefer Republican control and 7% who are unsure.

Independents lean toward Democrats by a 12-point margin, 46%-34%, as do majorities of Black and Latino voters, voters under 50 years old and those with a college degree. Republicans still have an edge among men, white voters and those without a college education.

That 5-point Democratic lead on the generic ballot is essentially even with the NBC News poll conducted in March, when Democrats had a 6-point lead. Looking at similar points in previous midterm election cycles, both parties were tied on the generic ballot in the May 2022 NBC News poll, while Democrats had a 10-point lead in the June 2018 NBC News poll.



https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-election/poll-democrats-maintain-edge-fight-congress-trump-gets-poor-marks-rcna348913

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Poll: Democrats maintain an edge in the fight for Congress as Trump gets poor marks (Original Post) RandySF Monday OP
They have been doing better than that in special elections. Most pollsters are missing something. everyonematters Monday #1

everyonematters

(4,291 posts)
1. They have been doing better than that in special elections. Most pollsters are missing something.
Mon Jun 15, 2026, 07:01 PM
Monday

I think they are undercounting independents. Most of them weight by party, but they are undercounting them. According to the latest Gallop poll, they have been growing and make up 45% of the electorate. The Democrats are winning them by double digits. That does not mean they will vote with us in 28.

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