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pat_k

(14,199 posts)
Mon Jun 8, 2026, 02:45 PM 2 hrs ago

I know chances are about nil, but is anyone else getting the feeling Steyer could edge out Hilton?

There is always a big swing left in late arriving mail ballots. I'm starting to think that this year that swing could be more pronounced than usual as Democrats waited for things to "shake out" and late breaking news or last minute changes in polling.

Then the felon came out with his warning that "they" are after Hilton now that Pratt is out. I can't imagine him saying that unless someone at the White House thinks things aren't so rosy for Hilton.

Full disclosure, I took a flyer on a bet Steyer would advance, assuming I was throwing my money out the window. Perhaps there is a teeny tiny glimmer of hope.

9 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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I know chances are about nil, but is anyone else getting the feeling Steyer could edge out Hilton? (Original Post) pat_k 2 hrs ago OP
No RandySF 2 hrs ago #1
Gentlemans bet? If Steyer doesnt make it to the runoff SSJVegeta 2 hrs ago #3
Yes SSJVegeta 2 hrs ago #2
Why si Becerra's ceiling also capped? lol obamanut2012 1 hr ago #8
Becerra isnt capped sorry. Hilton is. The remaining votes will be split at least close to evenly bt Steyer and Becerra SSJVegeta 26 min ago #9
Far from nil. Still a longshot but definitely could happen. Wiz Imp 1 hr ago #4
I believe he will get at least within a point of Hilton SSJVegeta 1 hr ago #6
There are currently about three hundred thousand votes separating Hilton and Steyer senseandsensibility 1 hr ago #5
No obamanut2012 1 hr ago #7

SSJVegeta

(3,289 posts)
3. Gentlemans bet? If Steyer doesnt make it to the runoff
Mon Jun 8, 2026, 02:56 PM
2 hrs ago

(Or within 1% of second place) feel free to rub it in 😜

SSJVegeta

(3,289 posts)
2. Yes
Mon Jun 8, 2026, 02:54 PM
2 hrs ago

Chances are high. And have been for quite a while. I dont know that he will but if he doesnt, it will be darn close.

Late votes are among the most progressive votes counted in california and there is a high ceiling still for some huge gains by Steyer since Becerras ceiling is nearly hit.

PS I was right about Raman making the LA Mayor runoff even after early votes were counted and she was in a distant 3rd. I also have a bet riding on her making 1st place after all votes are counted -which I also have mentally prepared myself to throw away. Yet the math is starting to point towards thst possibility after all the votes are counted.

PPS I am not always right when it comes to this stuff but the stars seem to br aligned for some very strong progressive momentum lately!! 💪



obamanut2012

(29,616 posts)
8. Why si Becerra's ceiling also capped? lol
Mon Jun 8, 2026, 03:23 PM
1 hr ago

Those "progressive" votes could be for Becerra as well as for Steyer. EVERYONE I know who is progressive voted last minute and voted for Becerra. He has just as much of a chance for everyone of those votes as Syere does.

SSJVegeta

(3,289 posts)
9. Becerra isnt capped sorry. Hilton is. The remaining votes will be split at least close to evenly bt Steyer and Becerra
Mon Jun 8, 2026, 04:40 PM
26 min ago

But that will also probably result in Steyer shooting into -or very close to Hiltons second place lead.

We are talking about a demographic probably slightly favoring Steyer:Young, working class, procrastinator... The Mayors race results are a glimpse -analogous to the same trend.

I expect Brecerra to be in a strong first place (mid 30s) with Steyer and Hilton well behind neck and neck. It will resemble much of what the LA race looks like right now when all votes are counted. I also expect the LA race will have bass and raman neck and neck for first.

I totally misspoke sorry!

SSJVegeta

(3,289 posts)
6. I believe he will get at least within a point of Hilton
Mon Jun 8, 2026, 03:17 PM
1 hr ago

Or better depending on how well Becerra did on the late vote.

senseandsensibility

(25,800 posts)
5. There are currently about three hundred thousand votes separating Hilton and Steyer
Mon Jun 8, 2026, 03:15 PM
1 hr ago

with more than two and half million left to count. Votes at the end always swing bluer. This year in CA all the Dems I know waited until the end to vote and most were torn between Steyer and Becerra. All this to say I think it is still possible.

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