General Discussion

applegrove

(133,085 posts) Mon May 18, 2026, 10:04 PM 12 hrs ago

D+11 on a generic ballot probably looks something like 40 seats gained in the House - IF we don't get complacent.

D+11 on a generic ballot probably looks something like 40 seats gained in the House - IF we donâ€™t get complacent.

Have you registered to vote yet? Have you double checked to make sure youâ€™re still registered? Do you have any documentation you need to vote? Start planning now.
— Angry (@angrystaffer.bsky.social) 2026-05-18T13:42:12.549Z

9 replies

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D+11 on a generic ballot probably looks something like 40 seats gained in the House - IF we don't get complacent. (Original Post) applegrove 12 hrs ago OP

might have been valid in the pre gerrymandered elections nt msongs 12 hrs ago #1

Mike Johnson's ouster will be cause for celebration.🎉 oasis 12 hrs ago #2

And nothing is going to get better for R's between now and election time Boo1 11 hrs ago #3

Dems gained 40 seats in 2018 Fiendish Thingy 11 hrs ago #4

That might give us 2 seats in nc dsc 11 hrs ago #5

I hope you are right. applegrove 11 hrs ago #6

As of November 2025, there were 117 seats held by Republicans in DIstricts that were R +11 or closer. Wiz Imp 10 hrs ago #7

Who are the MORONS who still think Dotard is good on the economy???? AZ8theist 9 hrs ago #8

Die-hard MAGAts. They are big on tribal loyalty, and short on common sense. Intractable 9 hrs ago #9

msongs

(74,183 posts)

1. might have been valid in the pre gerrymandered elections nt

Reply to applegrove (Original post)

Mon May 18, 2026, 10:18 PM

12 hrs ago

oasis

(53,978 posts)

2. Mike Johnson's ouster will be cause for celebration.🎉

Reply to applegrove (Original post)

Mon May 18, 2026, 10:26 PM

12 hrs ago

Boo1

(457 posts)

3. And nothing is going to get better for R's between now and election time

Reply to applegrove (Original post)

Mon May 18, 2026, 10:55 PM

11 hrs ago

It's likely to get much worse

You're going to see Democrats winning districts that were just gerrymandered and would have been safe R if left alone.

Fiendish Thingy

(24,060 posts)

4. Dems gained 40 seats in 2018

Reply to applegrove (Original post)

Mon May 18, 2026, 10:58 PM

11 hrs ago

And I think the generic ballot average was 6? Points?

And the economy was far better than it is now.

With gerrymandering, I still think 40 seats isn’t beyond the realm of possibility, and, more importantly, those generic ballot numbers also increase the chances of taking back the senate.

dsc

(53,442 posts)

5. That might give us 2 seats in nc

Reply to applegrove (Original post)

Mon May 18, 2026, 10:59 PM

11 hrs ago

Plus save Davis. They weakened Murphy to target him and Edwards is in big trouble. That would give us a 5/9 despite it being a 3/11 map

applegrove

(133,085 posts)

6. I hope you are right.

Reply to dsc (Reply #5)

Mon May 18, 2026, 11:31 PM

11 hrs ago

Wiz Imp

(10,405 posts)

7. As of November 2025, there were 117 seats held by Republicans in DIstricts that were R +11 or closer.

Reply to applegrove (Original post)

Tue May 19, 2026, 12:18 AM

10 hrs ago

That was before additional gerrymandering so I don't know what the new breakdown is, but in order to change Democratic districts to +Republican districts, it's likely there are even more R +11 or closer districts now. With a D +11 generic ballot, a lot of these R+11 or closer districts could be in play. I think Democrats could gain even more than 40 seats.

https://www.cookpolitical.com/cook-pvi

AZ8theist

(7,631 posts)

8. Who are the MORONS who still think Dotard is good on the economy????

Reply to applegrove (Original post)

Tue May 19, 2026, 12:55 AM

9 hrs ago

Or anything else, for that matter.

Intractable

(2,390 posts)

9. Die-hard MAGAts. They are big on tribal loyalty, and short on common sense.

Reply to AZ8theist (Reply #8)

Tue May 19, 2026, 12:58 AM

9 hrs ago

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