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OAITW r.2.0

(32,331 posts)
Thu Apr 16, 2026, 08:48 PM Thursday

Can Russia start a 2nd front against the Baltic States?

With what? I see no credible threat that Russia has the ability to move against any of the States. Your thoughts?

29 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Can Russia start a 2nd front against the Baltic States? (Original Post) OAITW r.2.0 Thursday OP
It depends on the rest of the world standing up to stop Putin if he tries. CentralMass Thursday #1
The EU is triggered. Just waiting for Putin to follow through on his threats. OAITW r.2.0 Thursday #8
They're transporting supplies to the front on donkeys and... surfered Thursday #2
And, can you imagine the NATO response if Putin makes a move against Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia? OAITW r.2.0 Thursday #4
Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania are NATO nations Chasstev365 Thursday #3
Me too. No real Russian army left. Putin is quickly entering the nuclear endgame. I hope that the Russian military OAITW r.2.0 Thursday #5
Not sustainably. Happy Hoosier Thursday #6
Ukraine's game has changed. OAITW r.2.0 Thursday #9
100% agree Happy Hoosier Yesterday #20
Russia can no longer produce enough recruits economically to die. Forced conscription has to happen....that includes OAITW r.2.0 Thursday #15
I can't see how they can keep this up. Happy Hoosier Yesterday #21
Why would Russia want a second front? sarisataka Thursday #7
They make threats daily....especially a key strategic city of Narva in Estonia. That may be the point of attack. OAITW r.2.0 Thursday #10
I've actually been there... Narva Castle on the Estonian side of the river WarGamer Thursday #13
Twin Cities, Right? OAITW r.2.0 Thursday #14
During the Soviet era they were on the "same side" WarGamer 14 hrs ago #22
Russia can barely keep the beets on the table. mr715 Thursday #11
you're 100% correct... they can't do a thing. WarGamer Thursday #12
Russia has the second-most powerful army in Ukraine. So, no. Efilroft Sul Thursday #16
Truth. OAITW r.2.0 Yesterday #17
Because Putin is never wrong... The Madcap 3 hrs ago #26
No. LudwigPastorius Yesterday #18
Moldova is moving to neutralize Russia by reintegrating with Romanian. OAITW r.2.0 Yesterday #19
No Boo1 14 hrs ago #23
The plan has been drawn up, and is being executed. LudwigPastorius 10 hrs ago #24
That as article is 3 years old, Boo1 3 hrs ago #25
"I see no credible threat" J_William_Ryan 3 hrs ago #27
Putin has lost too many troops and too much equipment to start another war LetMyPeopleVote 2 hrs ago #28
Every day the Baltic states are more ready for an armed conflict CanonRay 1 hr ago #29

OAITW r.2.0

(32,331 posts)
8. The EU is triggered. Just waiting for Putin to follow through on his threats.
Thu Apr 16, 2026, 09:39 PM
Thursday

Can't happen, conventionally.

surfered

(13,751 posts)
2. They're transporting supplies to the front on donkeys and...
Thu Apr 16, 2026, 08:56 PM
Thursday

…cannibalising tank crews for infantry assaults. They still have drones and missiles, but not the manpower for another front.

OAITW r.2.0

(32,331 posts)
4. And, can you imagine the NATO response if Putin makes a move against Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia?
Thu Apr 16, 2026, 09:16 PM
Thursday

Instant annihilation. With Ukraine's help.

Chasstev365

(7,929 posts)
3. Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania are NATO nations
Thu Apr 16, 2026, 08:57 PM
Thursday

An attack on any of them by Putin would have all NATO European nations and Canada fighting to defend them Shithead Trump would have the US sit it out.

However, Putin can't even take Ukraine after 3 years of fighting. I doubt he'd try to attack NATO nations.

OAITW r.2.0

(32,331 posts)
5. Me too. No real Russian army left. Putin is quickly entering the nuclear endgame. I hope that the Russian military
Thu Apr 16, 2026, 09:19 PM
Thursday

can block this option.

Happy Hoosier

(9,558 posts)
6. Not sustainably.
Thu Apr 16, 2026, 09:33 PM
Thursday

The Russian Army is essentially destroyed. They manage to keep up pressure on Ukraine with constant human wave attacks, but a modern, well-trained and well-equipped army would grind them to bits.

However, any modern army had better be paying VERY close attention to the drone war in Ukraine. It has changed modern ground war tactics forever.

OAITW r.2.0

(32,331 posts)
9. Ukraine's game has changed.
Thu Apr 16, 2026, 09:45 PM
Thursday

From Defense to Offense. Took them 3 years to reinvent themselves as an army. but they have done that. The best tactical, war-proven army in Europe at this moment.

Happy Hoosier

(9,558 posts)
20. 100% agree
Fri Apr 17, 2026, 10:26 AM
Yesterday

I work in the defense aerospace industry, including with our European (former) partners. It's made less news than it servers, but Europe has assisted Ukrain in developing a sophisticated and innovative arms industry, and they have worked closely with Ukraine to develop and modify tactics and strategies. This conflict will be written about for generations.

Many in the US are interested to in partnering with theUkraininas as well. Thecurrent admin is making that difficult Between you, me, and the lampost, a lot of senior defense industry folks are NOT happy with the current admin's approach to international partnerships.

And despite the facing of some of ensenior leadershp of companies trying to make nice, many of them had feared this would happen.

The US risks between several steps behind the innovation curve. Smaller companies like mine are trying to remain agile, but the big lumbering companies will need to find a way to move faster. The deployment cycle is now months, not years or decades.

OAITW r.2.0

(32,331 posts)
15. Russia can no longer produce enough recruits economically to die. Forced conscription has to happen....that includes
Thu Apr 16, 2026, 10:29 PM
Thursday

Moscow and St, Pete;s. Let's see what happens.

Happy Hoosier

(9,558 posts)
21. I can't see how they can keep this up.
Fri Apr 17, 2026, 10:27 AM
Yesterday

Ukraine is hurting too, but rather than doubling down, like Moscow, they are actively seeking different approaches.

sarisataka

(22,710 posts)
7. Why would Russia want a second front?
Thu Apr 16, 2026, 09:36 PM
Thursday

A second front is used to dilute an enemy's strength; it would dilute Russia's efforts.

OAITW r.2.0

(32,331 posts)
10. They make threats daily....especially a key strategic city of Narva in Estonia. That may be the point of attack.
Thu Apr 16, 2026, 10:04 PM
Thursday

I don't expect a direct military assault.....more like an intense war based on heritage, lies, and propaganda,

WarGamer

(18,713 posts)
13. I've actually been there... Narva Castle on the Estonian side of the river
Thu Apr 16, 2026, 10:15 PM
Thursday

And Ivangorod on the Russian side.

WarGamer

(18,713 posts)
22. During the Soviet era they were on the "same side"
Fri Apr 17, 2026, 09:29 PM
14 hrs ago

But the other 500 years, they've always been opposing each other.

There have been MASSIVE battles fought near there multiple times... last one in WW2 where most of Narva was destroyed.

LudwigPastorius

(14,836 posts)
18. No.
Fri Apr 17, 2026, 12:53 AM
Yesterday

However, Putin will annex Belarus in the near future, and continue to try to politically destabilize Moldova.

Boo1

(394 posts)
23. No
Fri Apr 17, 2026, 09:37 PM
14 hrs ago

he has no reason to do that because Belarus is a puppet state already. Unless they look to truely be ready to move out of the Russian sphere there will be no reason to annex them.

Boo1

(394 posts)
25. That as article is 3 years old,
Sat Apr 18, 2026, 08:56 AM
3 hrs ago

And references a possible document that is even older. And none of it has happened...

J_William_Ryan

(3,520 posts)
27. "I see no credible threat"
Sat Apr 18, 2026, 09:15 AM
3 hrs ago

That there’s no credible threat goes to the fact that NATO is both important and vital.

Absent NATO, the Baltic states could easily be attacked by Putin even in Russia’s depleted state.

CanonRay

(16,200 posts)
29. Every day the Baltic states are more ready for an armed conflict
Sat Apr 18, 2026, 10:22 AM
1 hr ago

while Russia is more depleted. They're using 60 year old equipment, plus horses and mules. No time for training anyone. The officer corp is corrupt and depleted. As a conventional military power they are done. They could still cause problems with cyber and political infiltration, but there will be no 2nd front.

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