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Pototan

(3,179 posts) Sat Apr 11, 2026, 05:27 AM Apr 11

Betting Market makes Tom Steyer favorite in Cal. Gov.

The betting markets have moved quickly to write Eric Swalwell's political obituary and make Tom Steyer the odds-on favorite. Overnight, Swalwell dropped 36% to just a 3.4% chance of winning, while Steyer jumped 21% to lead this betting market as having a 52% chance of winning.

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgovca/california-governors-race/kxgovca-26

3 replies

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Betting Market makes Tom Steyer favorite in Cal. Gov. (Original Post) Pototan Apr 11 OP

Tech bro favourite Matt Mahan (the Dem mayor of San Jose) has now also really moved up. He is a clear 2nd at 21%. Celerity Apr 11 #1

Why would anybody vote for either of them choie Apr 11 #2

We need to win this thing Pototan Apr 11 #3

Celerity

(54,652 posts)

1. Tech bro favourite Matt Mahan (the Dem mayor of San Jose) has now also really moved up. He is a clear 2nd at 21%.

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Sat Apr 11, 2026, 06:02 AM

Apr 11

choie

(6,948 posts)

2. Why would anybody vote for either of them

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Sat Apr 11, 2026, 06:43 AM

Apr 11

over Katie Porter? She has real experience and progressive chops.

Pototan

(3,179 posts)

3. We need to win this thing

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Sat Apr 11, 2026, 06:44 AM

Apr 11

I don't care who the Democrat is, as long as he or she finishes in the top two.

It's not just the Governor's race, but if Republicans finish one and two, it will depress votes in the Congressional races, down ballot.

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