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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsJasmine Crockett Holds Big Lead in Texas Primary (& Abbot spends millions to fight her).
Last edited Wed Feb 25, 2026, 03:43 PM - Edit history (1)
Jasmine Crockett Holds Big Lead in Texas Primary
February 25, 2026 at 10:56 am EST By Taegan Goddard 263 Comments
https://politicalwire.com/2026/02/25/jasmine-crockett-holds-big-lead-in-texas-primary/
A new University of Texas poll finds Jasmine Crockett (D) with a big lead James Talarico (D) in the Democratic U.S. Senate primary, 56% to 44%.
On the Republican side, Ken Paxton and Sen. John Cornyn running neck-and-neck, with neither candidate close to the 50%-plus-one-vote threshold needed to avoid a runoff.
Paxton led with 36% to Cornyns 34%. Rep. Wesley Hunt was in third, garnering 26% of the vote.
And:
Gov. Greg Abbott of Texas is spending millions of dollars on attack ads targeting Representative Jasmine Crockett, one of two Democratic candidates for Senate, and other prominent Democrats.
— The New York Times (@nytimes.com) 2026-02-25T20:40:06.032984Z
Bread and Circuses
(1,795 posts)Big Blue Marble
(5,675 posts)James Talarico would have a better chance in the general in Texas which
has proven time after time to be a hard nut to crack.
LetMyPeopleVote
(177,880 posts)I voted for Talarico but would be happy to support Crockett. The primary turnout numbers have been encouraging with far more democrats voting so far in the early vote. As of yesterday, the Democrats had far higher turnover than was normal in the primary.
Link to tweet
🟦 DEM: 754,765 (+116,683)
🟥 GOP: 642,681 (+99,738)
Dems: 120.7% of 2022 total
Reps: 62.7% of 2022 total
The people showing up so far in the GOP primary are older
Link to tweet
41% are age 70 or older.
85% are age 50 or older.

Skittles
(170,576 posts)sucks
LetMyPeopleVote
(177,880 posts)Her congressional district was destroyed by this gerrymander. The same thing was done to Al Green who is now in a primary for a different congressional district (CD 18). CD 18 used to be Sheila Jackson Lee's district and was vacant for almost a year when Sylvester Turned died. My oldest was in CD 18 but was moved to another district as a result of the gerrymander for the 2026 election cycle. Al Green is now in a tough primary against Christian Menefee who was just elected to replace Turner. I have heard that Menefee is ahead according to a poll, but Green has been around for a long time.
I personally like Al Green and spoke at an election event he hosted. Green introduced me to both Hillary Clinton and John Lewis as his attorney because I have worked on some voter protection efforts with him and other.
Texas politics are strange right now. I voted for Talarico but would be glad to support Crockett.
Skittles
(170,576 posts)is not an excuse to fuck with Talarico.....of course I'll be voting for Crockett if she wins but I still think she should not have joined this race
JustAnotherGen
(37,891 posts)When should she run it?
Men have no problem throwing an elbow at a woman to get ahead. I've worked too long in Corporate America and yes - local and state politics as well to not know that is a FACT.
She saw an opportunity.
She took it.
It's the American way. All she is doing is giving the good old boys network a quick shove out of her way.
I applaud it.
Horse with no Name
(34,228 posts)Are crossing into the primary to boost Crockett because they are afraid of Talarico. I wouldnt mind either of them but my guess is that shenanigans are afoot.
Quiet Em
(2,722 posts)They have their own battle going on between Paxton and Cornyn.
I don't know who will win the Democratic Primary, although Crockett is probably favored at this point, but whoever wins it will be due to Democratic voters, not Republicans.
pinkstarburst
(1,955 posts)Look at the numbers. If they gave a sht about Cornyn vs Paxton, their numbers would be what ours are. Their numbers would be HIGHER since there are more republicans in the state! Our numbers are wiping their numbers out because they are crossing over to vote in our primary. They know perfectly well that if Talarico wins, we could flip that seat. If Jasmine wins, they've won. I'm literally sick looking at that data. We have no chance if she's the one who advances.
Quiet Em
(2,722 posts)and if Crockett does win, as many are projecting, the attacks on her stop.
pinkstarburst
(1,955 posts)and by entering the race at the last second against a strong candidate who genuinely could win, she has potentially ruined any chance Texas has at that seat. Crockett should have stuck to her House seat. If her argument was that she couldn't win her House seat because it got gerrymandered then she has zero business running for a statewide race in Texas because no way can she win in ruby red Texas where she will have to pick up conservative votes, if she can't even win in her own House district.
Nictuku
(4,617 posts)I also think that congress needs people like Talrico. Perhaps he can run for the seat Crockett vacates. This guy can talk sense into some of these evangelical independents.
pinkstarburst
(1,955 posts)And the republicans know it. This is why they are crossing over to vote for her in the democratic primary right now.
JustAnotherGen
(37,891 posts)Can't reach the past 5-10 year of non-voters or Black voters. I also find it interesting the Latino voters showing up at her rallys.
The wins in 2026 are going to be energizing non-voters who see what a shit ass country we are.
DFW
(59,985 posts)I would want to hear from many more of them before judging a poll to be accurate.
Quiet Em
(2,722 posts)There was another poll a week or so ago. Very similar results. On March 3rd we will have difinitive results.
DFW
(59,985 posts)I know I was denied the chance to cast my primary vote. I'm just one voter, but I doubt I was the only one.
Quiet Em
(2,722 posts)I never miss a vote. I would be livid if that happened to me.
LetMyPeopleVote
(177,880 posts)The GOP is targeting overseas voters in the SAVE Act.
https://www.democraticunderground.com/1009921
SSJVegeta
(2,613 posts)DFW
(59,985 posts)So that was it.
SSJVegeta
(2,613 posts)There was a video I s a w a few days ago posted by a black woman who was also denied voting. After some persistence they ended up letting her cast a provisional ballot... they should at least let you do that.
pinkstarburst
(1,955 posts)nature-lover
(1,860 posts)Cobert aired his interview with Talarico on Feb.16. This poll was taken from Feb 2-16.
applegrove
(131,464 posts)nature-lover
(1,860 posts)Maybe more of my fellow Texans will vote!
pinkstarburst
(1,955 posts)and took place before the Colbert interview.
Very small sample size.