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justaprogressive

(6,299 posts)
Thu Jun 5, 2025, 10:26 AM Jun 2025

Trump's Beautiful Bill Will Kick 11 Million People Off Their Health Insurance



The Congressional Budget Office published its latest estimate of the Republicans’ One Big Beautiful Bill Act on Wednesday. The results are gruesome. From this year through 2034, food stamps get gored by almost $300 billion, and Medicaid by well over $700 billion. Affordable Care Act subsidies come in for another $125 billion in cuts, in addition to Republicans’ separate refusal to extend Biden-era marketplace subsidies that expire at the end of the year. The CBO concludes this bill will directly kick 10.9 million people off their health insurance, and if you add another five million from the refusal to extend ACA subsidies, that’s a total of about 16 million losing coverage.

The suffering from these cuts will be concentrated among the poor and working class, including perhaps 51,000 preventable deaths per year, according to researchers from Yale and the University of Pennsylvania. That makes this bill considerably worse than Trump’s previous attempt to repeal the ACA during his first term, which would have caused “only” an estimated 24,000 to 46,000 deaths annually.

It’s worth pointing out that four Republican senators, namely, Josh Hawley and Eric Schmitt of Missouri, Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, and Susan Collins of Maine, have all promised not to cut Medicaid. And others, like West Virginia’s Shelley Moore Capito and Jim Justice, have expressed concern about the impact on rural hospitals, which operate on thin margins and would near collapse if many of their patients lost insurance coverage.

These cuts, immense as they are, do not come close to canceling out the effect of $3.7 trillion in tax cuts, so the net result is a $2.4 trillion increase in the national debt by 2034. On the benefits of these reduced taxes, per an analysis by the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, 68 percent will be collected by the top fifth of Americans, and the top one-hundredth will get 24 percent. The poorest fifth will get a measly 1 percent—and that small tax decrease will be canceled out many times over by the cuts to Medicaid and food stamps.


https://prospect.org/politics/2025-06-05-trumps-beautiful-bill-will-kick-11-million-people-off-health-insurance/
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Trump's Beautiful Bill Will Kick 11 Million People Off Their Health Insurance (Original Post) justaprogressive Jun 2025 OP
Maddow Blog-Budget office analysis makes the Republicans' domestic policy megabill look even worse LetMyPeopleVote Jun 2025 #1

LetMyPeopleVote

(174,918 posts)
1. Maddow Blog-Budget office analysis makes the Republicans' domestic policy megabill look even worse
Thu Jun 5, 2025, 04:40 PM
Jun 2025

The original Congressional Budget Office score of the GOP's reconciliation package was brutal. A revised analysis made matters worse for Republicans.

MAGA is taking healthcare away from 11 million people.

Budget office analysis makes the Republicans’ domestic policy megabill look even worse www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddo...

The Wise Old Bat ❌👑 (@thewiseoldbat.bsky.social) 2025-06-04T15:23:52.018Z

https://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/maddowblog/cbo-office-budget-analysis-republicans-megabill-worse-rcna210890

Nearly two weeks later, the budget office has finally had an opportunity to carefully scrutinize the final version of the bill — which narrowly passed the lower chamber ahead of Memorial Day weekend — and as NBC News reported, the CBO’s revised findings don’t do Republicans any favors.

The sweeping Republican bill for President Donald Trump’s domestic agenda is projected to add $2.4 trillion to the national debt over the next 10 years, according to a new estimate from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office. It is slightly higher than an earlier version of the bill, which the CBO projected to add $2.3 trillion in new debt.


The same CBO report similarly found that 10.9 million Americans would lose their health care coverage if the Republican legislation became law — a slightly larger total than the analysts’ original estimate — as a result of Medicaid cuts and regressive changes to the Affordable Care Act.

What’s the good news for GOP officials in this revised score? There really isn’t any.

It’s worth emphasizing for context that Republicans didn’t actually want any of this information — before or after the vote. Common sense might suggest that GOP officials on Capitol Hill would want to know basic details about their giant reconciliation package, such as how much it would cost and the practical implications of its provisions, so that Congress would at least try to govern with open eyes.

But that hasn’t been the case. Just as Republicans scrambled in 2017 to pass massive tax breaks without waiting for a score from the Congressional Budget Office, GOP lawmakers decided to do the same thing in 2025, deliberately choosing willful ignorance about their own legislation.

Congressional Democrats, however, were free to ask the CBO to scrutinize the House Republicans’ proposal, and that’s precisely what happened.
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