So great news! I also wonder how much of the Senste we can pick up. With enough of a lead, maybe a veto proof majority isn't a pipe dream.

They have a much easier path. Right now, they control the Senate 53-47. At maximum, we can pick up three, possibly four in a Blue Wave. We would need to pick up a staggering 20 seats to get to the 67 needed for veto-proof.

I'm guessing? (Obviously it doesn't reflect as cleanly for the senate races as the house races, but I imagine there would have to be far more of a galvanized opposition than for the house)

They would have to lose 20 out of 22, and we'd have to win every one of ours. We would have to win in places like AL, MS, OK, TN, TX, WV, and WY. To put it mildly, yikes!

Like if the midterms are all about crushing rhe oligarchy, I see us getting close. But it will be tough!

I suspect a lot of trumpers will turn on the Trump party.

But not in AL, MS, OK, TN, WV, or WY. Us winning in those states would be like a Republican winning in CA or HI. Even with an unpopular President, Steve Garvey still lost by 20 in Cali.

Numbers of people relying on SNAP and Medicaid. When those programs are gone, and there's only one party to blame, I predict a major shift back to the democrats.

The rest will not be afraid of Medicaid cuts.

IN, VA, NC, lots of red states with Medicaid expansion.

... us economic system.

Trust me, I was arguing with people who said Harris would win by 20 and get 400 EV's. We're not picking up Senate seats in AL, MS, OK, TN, WV, or WY. Some of those they will win by 30 points (WV and WY).

Now TX, may be possible to pick up if Ken Paxton gets the Republican nomination and we run a really strong candidate. For now though, let's focus on where we can definitely pick up, such as ME, NC. Feel free to bookmark, I'll be the first to apologize if I'm wrong.

I definitely think that it is impossible without the right message. So far the last time we ever had "the right message" was when Obama ran in 2008. We got close then. We would get closer this time.

Nothing against the good people who live there, but Trump got 70% of the vote in WV, and 72% in WY. That's a staggering amount of people to convince. It's sad, actually.

West Virginia plus Wyoming have about 2.5 million residents, while California has 39.5 million.
California has 16 times more residents.
West Virginia gets 2 senators, Wyoming 2, California 2.
In the senate 4 red senators vs 2 blue senators.

Senators should be allocated on a 2 3 or 4 basis depending on population.
Fat chance jimmy.
The senate will likely be red the next 20 years.

More people stayed home than voted for either candidate.

...personally

Look at 24.

"Democracy" and "Oligarchy" and "Felon" were soundly rejected because people were pissed off about the cost of living.

Run ALL campaigns on making life easier for working class people.

People DONT GIVE A SHIT about issues that float around a University Faculty Break Room.

They vote on their checkbook and shit they see on TikTok.

This should be an OP !!!

The Real Wage Index is still going the wrong way and I don't see it getting better by years end.

We're have lower rate of inflation but people voted for DEFLATION or increase in salaries, no way MAGA is supporting that.

So we have another chance to focus a strong economic message.

Making the rich pay their fair share could be one of them.

I, for one, hope he dies before he gets that chance.

They've been consistently bang on with things. I remember the morning of election day 2024, I looked at their final polls and immediately got a sinking feeling.

Their read seems to be about where we are right now. Well-positioned for 2026, but that "Regretful Trump Voter" is not really a thing.

He's doing what he told them he would. Unless their ass is the one getting kicked by it, they don't care.

That’s the first set of ‘26 polls I’d seen. Obviously it’s still really early.

I used to live in Michigan and it looks like Detroit mayor Mike Duggan may be playing spoiler here. Wonder if some big republican donors are getting him to run to throw this to James (who has lost two or three senate races by fairly slim margins).

Maybe Pete B should throw his hat in the ring for the senate primary. It could provide a better springboard if he wants to run for president again. Right now, his resume is sorta thin. He’s an effective communicator but I want to see him win a statewide seat to consider him viable for higher office.

I notice Hochul and Stefanik are competitive for the NY governor’s race. She’ll need to open a bigger lead otherwise dems will be forced to spend on a race, that could go toward other races.

have very little credibility in them.