Sen. Jon Ossoff (Ga.)
Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.)
Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine)
Sen. Gary Peters (D-Mich.) Retiring
Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.)

The text doesn't support a likelihood that these will flip to Republican. The seats are just generating a lot of interest.

Kentucky- Mitch is retiring, and could be a Dem pickup if Beshear runs

Iowa- Joni Ernst stepped in it this week, will Dems be able to take advantage?

Texas- if Cornyn loses the primary to Paxton, that might create an a chance for Dems.

Alabama- with Tuberville retiring, perhaps Doug Jones will get another shot?

Of course, there are four Dems retiring, so it’s still going to be an uphill climb for Dems to retake the majority.

And lots could happen in the next year or so to tip the playing field in Dems’ favor- recession, double digit inflation from tariffs, shortages, Medicare/medicaid cuts, etc.

the Dems will control the Senate. And if they do it will be by 1 vote. And Vance is still the tie breaker.

That would put us at a 50-50 split. Vance would be the tie breaker in that situation only. If we pick up one more, we control it 51-49. Vance would not be the tiebreaker in that example, but picking up four seats seems out of the question right now.

how does the leadership work. What bills are voted on is as important as the votes themselves.

They agree to split several things such as committees, but the Party who controls the Presidency is still in charge for the most part. For example, when it was last 50-50, Schumer was still the Majority Leader. Harris had to be brought in for the tiebreaker quite frequently, though.