I asked ChatGPT to assess the impact of Trump 2 on our tourism industry. The answer is bleak.

My question:

Donald Trump already seems to be moving USA in an authoritarian direction that portrays America in a negative light internationally, for example, mass deportations and targeted policies discriminating against trans people, as well as tariffs, insults, and threats to our allies. What impact could this have on America's international tourism industry?

Reply:

Trump’s authoritarian-leaning policies, such as mass deportations, anti-LGBTQ+ measures, economic isolationism, and diplomatic hostility, could have a major negative impact on the U.S. international tourism industry. Here’s how:

1. Declining International Visitors
Negative Global Perception: Travelers often avoid destinations perceived as unwelcoming, unstable, or discriminatory. If the U.S. is seen as intolerant or dangerous, foreign visitors may choose alternatives like Canada or Europe.
Travel Warnings & Boycotts: Nations with strong LGBTQ+ protections, such as Canada and many European countries, could issue travel advisories against visiting the U.S. due to discrimination or safety concerns.
Visa & Border Hassles: Stricter immigration policies could make entry more difficult, discouraging tourists from visiting.

2. Economic Fallout for the Tourism Industry
Loss of Billions in Revenue: International tourists spent over $239 billion in the U.S. in 2019. A downturn would hurt hotels, airlines, restaurants, and attractions.
Job Losses: Millions of American jobs depend on tourism. Declining international visitors could cause layoffs, especially in cities like New York, Los Angeles, and Orlando.
Event Cancellations: International conferences, film festivals, and sports events might relocate to countries with more stable and welcoming environments.

3. Impact of Tariffs & Diplomatic Tensions
Retaliatory Travel Restrictions: Countries affected by Trump’s tariffs or insults (such as China, Mexico, and the EU) could impose their own travel restrictions or discourage their citizens from visiting the U.S.
Declining Chinese & European Tourism: China was once a growing market for U.S. tourism, but rising political tensions could drive those travelers elsewhere.

4. Rise in Alternative Destinations
Canada & Mexico as Beneficiaries: If the U.S. becomes less appealing, neighboring countries could see a boost in tourism.
Europe & Asia Attracting High-Spending Tourists: Wealthy travelers, who spend more on luxury hotels, shopping, and entertainment, may choose destinations that feel more politically stable.