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Redleg

(6,419 posts)
Wed Jan 15, 2025, 05:17 PM Jan 15

My prediction about Trump's deportation plan

I believe that Trump will primarily target for deportation those undocumented workers in blue states such as California. He will stage a few large and highly publicized "round-ups" of such workers in blue states while doing much less in red states. The MAGAts will have the impression that Trump is doing these mass round-ups and deportations and will not notice that he is strategically choosing where to focus the efforts. Thus Trump will get credit for deportations while doing little harm to the red state industries that employee undocumented immigrants.

23 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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My prediction about Trump's deportation plan (Original Post) Redleg Jan 15 OP
Sensible speculation. cachukis Jan 15 #1
Sensible. Counteract by targetting largest red state undoc employer & sue for equal application of law/regs. . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Jan 15 #2
But how will Greg Abbot react to that? Baitball Blogger Jan 15 #3
abbott wants the illegals just like all the rest rampartd Jan 15 #5
MAGAs are not going to be happy. Baitball Blogger Jan 15 #7
magas will see what they are shown rampartd Jan 15 #10
I have noticed that they are not especially obervant ThoughtCriminal Jan 16 #21
He will eventually be among those that go. Just not in the first few waves. GreenWave Jan 15 #13
He wants to give the red states slave labor, and Bluethroughu Jan 15 #4
I bet you're exactly right. Scrivener7 Jan 15 #6
he'll pick certain industries, too. mopinko Jan 15 #8
Will you be stopped if you look Latino? My guess is yes. Is it legal? Does that matter? twodogsbarking Jan 15 #9
Well, if you ask youself, "What would a complete dick do?" William Seger Jan 15 #11
I am thinking they will deport those that had asylum claims denied, since they are already on a deportation list. MichMan Jan 15 #12
My prediction... jmowreader Jan 15 #14
Many, if not most of CA's undocumenteds live and work in the central valley paleotn Jan 15 #15
I have to agree. eom Exp Jan 15 #17
I understand that fact but it won't prevent Trump from staging some deportations anyway Redleg Jan 17 #22
I think California will not allow these federal agents in to deport people kimbutgar Jan 15 #16
Newsom and other blue govenors have said they are not going to break the law. Which means they'll have PortTack Jan 15 #19
That's a reasonable assumption but he has 2 fanatics in charge. Stephen Miller & Thomas Homan will deport across US. scarletlib Jan 15 #18
I think it's going to come down to what Putin wants. Frank D. Lincoln Jan 15 #20
Quite likely. Also, the sheer logistics required to "keep his promises" on deportation numbers, Jack Valentino Jan 17 #23

Bernardo de La Paz

(53,876 posts)
2. Sensible. Counteract by targetting largest red state undoc employer & sue for equal application of law/regs. . . nt
Wed Jan 15, 2025, 05:24 PM
Jan 15

rampartd

(1,803 posts)
5. abbott wants the illegals just like all the rest
Wed Jan 15, 2025, 05:51 PM
Jan 15

but he wants them terrorized so they don't ask for fair wages or decent conditions..

rampartd

(1,803 posts)
10. magas will see what they are shown
Wed Jan 15, 2025, 06:02 PM
Jan 15

and praise dear leader as they are trained to do.

peace deal in gaza today, right on schedule for dear leader to take credit under high flying flag for his inauguration.

ThoughtCriminal

(14,481 posts)
21. I have noticed that they are not especially obervant
Thu Jan 16, 2025, 01:29 AM
Jan 16

of anything that actually happens in the real universe.

GreenWave

(10,880 posts)
13. He will eventually be among those that go. Just not in the first few waves.
Wed Jan 15, 2025, 06:18 PM
Jan 15

Dirty Donnie doesn't do wounded or partially paralyzed.

Bluethroughu

(7,086 posts)
4. He wants to give the red states slave labor, and
Wed Jan 15, 2025, 05:34 PM
Jan 15

The ability to bully those immigrants to take less money and do whatever they say.

They have nobody to report it to, and no help to even get home.

mopinko

(72,192 posts)
8. he'll pick certain industries, too.
Wed Jan 15, 2025, 05:57 PM
Jan 15

those that work for his buddies can expect to b protected. those that wd like to shake up the help will get that.
yeah, i think the whole thing will b targeted and manipulated.

twodogsbarking

(13,143 posts)
9. Will you be stopped if you look Latino? My guess is yes. Is it legal? Does that matter?
Wed Jan 15, 2025, 06:02 PM
Jan 15

How y'all likin' 'merica?

MichMan

(14,685 posts)
12. I am thinking they will deport those that had asylum claims denied, since they are already on a deportation list.
Wed Jan 15, 2025, 06:18 PM
Jan 15

jmowreader

(52,056 posts)
14. My prediction...
Wed Jan 15, 2025, 06:24 PM
Jan 15

…is a lot of people not eligible to be deported because they’re US citizens will be grabbed and deported because they accidentally left their wallets home that morning. It’ll pretty much be the scenario in Cheech Martin’s “Born in East LA,” except for real this time.

“Rudolfo Robles…fifty years old…deported nine times…let’s make that ten.”

paleotn

(20,196 posts)
15. Many, if not most of CA's undocumenteds live and work in the central valley
Wed Jan 15, 2025, 07:09 PM
Jan 15

Not the blue coast. The central valley is the agriculture powerhouse of CA and the entire country. And very red. You want to fire food inflation, fuck with the central valley. You want to piss off some very serious Trump donors, fuck with central valley agriculture.

There aren't going to be any large roundups. Define large? Some incidents that might fit that category occurred during his first term. And that's my prediction, 2017 to 2020 repeat. It's a whole lot of to do about little, though magat trash won't see it that way and neither will the doom and gloomers here. They'll actually think he's deporting all of them. Nope. Ain't gonna happen, even in blue states.

For the umpteenth time, he's a bullshit artist. Everyone has none at least one in their life. 90% of what they spew is for effect and / or a means of negotiation. It's bluster.

Redleg

(6,419 posts)
22. I understand that fact but it won't prevent Trump from staging some deportations anyway
Fri Jan 17, 2025, 12:05 AM
Jan 17

He wants to do it for show.

kimbutgar

(24,670 posts)
16. I think California will not allow these federal agents in to deport people
Wed Jan 15, 2025, 07:12 PM
Jan 15

And there will be a stand off between Newsom and the 🍑💩🤡 .

PortTack

(35,452 posts)
19. Newsom and other blue govenors have said they are not going to break the law. Which means they'll have
Wed Jan 15, 2025, 07:56 PM
Jan 15

To allow ice agents to come in and deport ppl. The governors are making it clear to local and state law enforcement agencies that they are not to help or support the ice agents in any way. That’s a lot right there.

scarletlib

(3,527 posts)
18. That's a reasonable assumption but he has 2 fanatics in charge. Stephen Miller & Thomas Homan will deport across US.
Wed Jan 15, 2025, 07:53 PM
Jan 15

I am not sure TRump can control them.

Frank D. Lincoln

(894 posts)
20. I think it's going to come down to what Putin wants.
Wed Jan 15, 2025, 08:06 PM
Jan 15

If Putin wants mass deportations, then there's going to be mass deportations.

Jack Valentino

(1,720 posts)
23. Quite likely. Also, the sheer logistics required to "keep his promises" on deportation numbers,
Fri Jan 17, 2025, 12:47 AM
Jan 17

are simply impossible for him to achieve.

Even the Nazis weren't able to kill that fast, (much less simply deport people),
and they were not burdened by any requirements of law---

I was watching a documentary today on 'Story Television', a digital sub-channel
which uses a lot of programming which originated on 'The History Channel' (back when they aired history),
which made convincing arguments that the Nazi's "final solution to the Jewish problem"
is what led directly to their defeat in World War II--

They had to use up so many resources to murder the number of Jews that they did,
especially during 1942-1943, which might have gone towards the war effort,
that they ensured their own defeat by the greater resources of the Allies.

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